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Championship · Matchweek 42
Stoke CityStoke City
1–1
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– Stoke CityBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
42

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,718

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Michael O'Neill
Position
13 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
6.5° (feels 6.5°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
26%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 9.32–9.52 · xPts 7.04

  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 0.59–3.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.5–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 1–3 xG 1.25–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 3–1 xG 2.11–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 3–3 xG 2.87–1.24 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

LWDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 2 · xG 5.92–5.93 · xPts 6.71

  • D H West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.95–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.66–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 0.49–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 2.07–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.75–1.56 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 25 matches since 2008

Stoke City 135 draws7 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 30–26 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 52 draws3 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 22 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.131.35
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 813 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.111.480.911.00
Goals against / match1.221.221.221.26
Clean sheets28%26%26%30%
Failed to score37%22%35%39%
Both teams scored44%61%48%39%
Over 2.544%56%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.201.13
xG against / match1.431.191.301.45
xG difference-0.190.26-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.281.551.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first44%52%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.252.171.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.520.33
Came back from behind22%38%26%9%
Leads held71%69%56%69%
Minutes leading24%31%21%28%
Minutes level50%48%55%48%
Minutes trailing27%21%24%24%
First goal (min)37344436
First goal conceded (min)44474944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.220.09
Late goals against0.350.350.390.35
Style
Possession52%53%48%47%
Shots11.212.711.511.4
On target3.84.73.23.1
Shot conversion10%12%8%9%
Shots inside box65%67%67%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.02.2
Corners6.06.45.34.9
xG from set plays28%34%27%24%
Goals from headers16%15%27%27%
Pressure index13.316.310.19.4
Dominant minutes52.757.344.643.4
Pass accuracy78%79%74%75%
Fouls10.410.610.511.3
Cards2.302.262.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 30%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Stoke or Draw 32%1.3Stoke or Blackburn 36%1.44Draw or Blackburn 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw30%28%28%+0.2
Away35%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1494
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.39
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0551
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-05 60 170 11'5
2025-10-25 · Blackburn Rovers 31 200 19'13
2025-10-18 10 130 54'8
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 40 270 41'12
2025-08-09 60 180 57'9
2025-04-21 70 241 13'11