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Championship · Matchweek 42
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
0–0
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– WBAMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
42

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,447

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Alex Neil
Position
20 · 4
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.8° (feels 5.0°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

DWWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 10.8–4.37 · xPts 10.28

  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.74–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.99–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–0 xG 2.98–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.26–0.96 UK CHAMP

Millwall

WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.43–10.55 · xPts 4.93

  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.18–1.92 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 2–1 xG 1.07–3.62 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.52–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.03–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 1–0 xG 1.64–0.88 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

West Bromwich Albion 28 draws4 Millwall

Goals 9–13 · 1.57 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 14%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 07 draws3 Millwall

Goals 4–10 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 04 draws1 Millwall

Goals 2–5 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 3–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.151.481.751.75
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 524 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.041.221.331.29
Goals against / match1.261.091.061.00
Clean sheets30%35%40%33%
Failed to score33%30%21%21%
Both teams scored50%52%48%58%
Over 2.546%44%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.501.38
xG against / match1.050.781.331.51
xG difference0.390.890.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.45-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.621.951.471.30
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.480.280.45
Game state
Scored first41%52%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.791.00
Came back from behind17%29%43%60%
Leads held62%57%86%85%
Minutes leading25%32%27%20%
Minutes level50%52%56%61%
Minutes trailing25%16%17%18%
First goal (min)42384451
First goal conceded (min)45504342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.350.38
Late goals against0.260.300.350.25
Style
Possession52%54%48%46%
Shots13.415.212.912.3
On target4.14.74.23.8
Shot conversion8%8%10%10%
Shots inside box65%63%68%65%
Big chances created2.12.42.32.2
Corners5.26.15.75.2
xG from set plays36%41%33%30%
Goals from headers26%22%16%13%
Pressure index13.416.311.99.1
Dominant minutes52.957.344.439.2
Pass accuracy80%81%70%69%
Fouls10.210.112.614.4
Cards1.831.611.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 29% P 28%3.1Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36West Brom or Draw 35%1.33West Brom or Millwall 36%1.61Draw or Millwall 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 40 150 4'9
2026-03-18 80 260 27'9
2026-03-11 –– 18– –4
2026-03-03 60 240 36'14
2026-02-27 50 160 26'10
2026-02-21 61 240 30'6
2026-02-14 31 220 101'8
2026-01-31 · Millwall 30 170 69'14
2026-01-25 30 230 70'7
2026-01-17 50 220 85'7