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Championship · Matchweek 43

Momentum

BBRCVC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,657

Teams

Coaches
Michael O'Neill · Frank Lampard
Position
20 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.8° (feels 7.3°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 4.08–7.36 · xPts 4.77

  • L A Southampton 0–3 xG 0.32–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 1–1 xG 0.67–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.95–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.66–1.09 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 0.49–1.51 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 10.88–7.08 · xPts 8.8

  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 3.08–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 xG 0.67–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 3–2 xG 1.33–1.75 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 3–0 xG 2.49–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 3.31–2.05 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 15 matches since 2008

Blackburn Rovers 17 draws7 Coventry City

Goals 14–23 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 05 draws5 Coventry City

Goals 6–15 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 02 draws3 Coventry City

Goals 1–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 2–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 2–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.912.071.74
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1028 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match0.910.832.112.00
Goals against / match1.221.170.981.13
Clean sheets26%22%37%39%
Failed to score35%30%15%13%
Both teams scored48%56%59%56%
Over 2.539%30%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.262.041.73
xG against / match1.301.151.141.19
xG difference-0.100.110.900.54
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.070.27
xPts / match1.321.461.831.64
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.230.10
Game state
Scored first46%39%65%74%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.520.671.551.00
Came back from behind26%38%53%38%
Leads held56%40%80%61%
Minutes leading21%14%38%38%
Minutes level55%61%50%51%
Minutes trailing24%24%12%11%
First goal (min)44513332
First goal conceded (min)49534548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.480.39
Late goals against0.390.430.170.17
Style
Possession48%48%55%52%
Shots11.511.616.314.7
On target3.23.25.65.3
Shot conversion8%7%13%14%
Shots inside box67%69%72%71%
Big chances created2.01.72.82.4
Corners5.35.85.34.7
xG from set plays27%30%36%38%
Goals from headers27%26%20%26%
Pressure index10.110.717.012.7
Dominant minutes44.645.858.852.4
Pass accuracy74%73%80%79%
Fouls10.59.89.69.8
Cards2.172.001.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
3-4-31 2%3.02.01.02.550.79

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.2Home 22% P 21%3.4Draw 28% P 28%1.9Away 50% P 51%

Double Chance

1.8Blackburn or Draw 26%1.33Blackburn or Coventry 35%1.22Draw or Coventry 39%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.72Under 55% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 50%1.72Under 54% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%22%15%-7.0
Draw28%27%27%+0.4
Away51%51%58%+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-10 30 280 56'9
2026-04-06 40 150 4'9
2026-03-18 80 260 27'9
2026-03-11 · Coventry City 18 4
2026-03-03 60 240 36'14
2026-02-27 50 160 26'10
2026-02-21 61 240 30'6
2026-02-14 31 220 101'8
2026-01-31 30 170 69'14
2026-01-25 30 230 70'7