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Championship · Matchweek 43

Momentum

Bristol CityNorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,149

Teams

Coaches
Roy Hodgson · Philippe Clement
Position
10 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

DLWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.66–9.31 · xPts 4.23

  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.2–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.34–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 2.46–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.24–2.99 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.41–1.82 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 6.25–5.92 · xPts 7.07

  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.9–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 1.92–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.54–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.86–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.04–0.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2007

Bristol City 84 draws10 Norwich City

Goals 27–33 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 41 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 13–16 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 31 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Bristol City 2–4 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.411.52
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1019 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.281.431.371.57
Goals against / match1.281.351.221.22
Clean sheets30%35%20%22%
Failed to score33%30%20%13%
Both teams scored46%39%61%65%
Over 2.546%48%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.351.30
xG against / match1.481.491.461.64
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.100.220.020.27
xPts / match1.201.211.351.23
Points vs xPts0.150.130.060.29
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.680.80
Came back from behind31%29%27%33%
Leads held77%75%68%67%
Minutes leading30%33%28%32%
Minutes level41%38%48%42%
Minutes trailing29%29%24%26%
First goal (min)32284236
First goal conceded (min)30314641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.260.30
Late goals against0.240.300.300.30
Style
Possession49%52%54%52%
Shots12.212.712.611.5
On target4.14.04.54.4
Shot conversion10%11%11%14%
Shots inside box60%59%64%66%
Big chances created1.92.02.32.1
Corners4.84.75.35.0
xG from set plays24%20%25%23%
Goals from headers21%21%10%11%
Pressure index11.914.512.510.8
Dominant minutes43.948.953.247.7
Pass accuracy78%80%79%78%
Fouls9.58.810.210.4
Cards1.831.651.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 34%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.4Away 39% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Bristol City or Draw 31%1.33Bristol City or Norwich 35%1.4Draw or Norwich 33%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 50%1.8Under 53% P 50%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 64%2.0Under 46% P 36%
4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw28%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 100 350 23'9
2026-03-07 81 190 23'9
2026-02-25 · Norwich City 15 9
2026-02-17 · Bristol City 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8
2025-12-29 21 6
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12
2025-12-13 70 300 17'8