KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 43
Derby CountyDerby County
1–0
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– Derby CountyOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,281

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Matt Bloomfield
Position
8 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.5° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.74–5.93 · xPts 9.17

  • L A Southampton 1–2 xG 1.68–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 3.11–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 2–3 xG 1.75–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 1.91–0.25 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 1.29–2.18 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 7.78–6.23 · xPts 7.65

  • W H Watford 2–0 xG 1.58–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 1–1 xG 3.18–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–2 xG 0.68–2.29 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.45–0.93 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Derby County 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 2–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Derby County 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 2–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Derby County 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 2–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Derby County 1–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 0–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.571.020.78
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 711 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.461.350.980.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.281.39
Clean sheets26%30%17%13%
Failed to score9%4%41%44%
Both teams scored65%65%52%56%
Over 2.552%39%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.170.99
xG against / match1.321.111.431.68
xG difference-0.090.16-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.230.07-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.331.471.210.95
Points vs xPts0.170.09-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first54%52%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.242.332.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.220.17
Came back from behind35%46%19%13%
Leads held69%71%58%44%
Minutes leading30%29%21%19%
Minutes level46%46%47%47%
Minutes trailing24%25%32%34%
First goal (min)40452829
First goal conceded (min)40363538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.150.13
Late goals against0.300.260.150.26
Style
Possession44%48%40%38%
Shots11.011.911.99.8
On target3.63.73.42.6
Shot conversion13%11%8%9%
Shots inside box70%65%54%53%
Big chances created2.22.31.61.6
Corners4.55.54.03.4
xG from set plays39%44%40%33%
Goals from headers28%32%16%19%
Pressure index10.111.66.43.8
Dominant minutes39.945.733.723.1
Pass accuracy73%77%69%70%
Fouls12.311.910.811.0
Cards2.632.301.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-5-21 2%0.01.02.00.841.63

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 48%3.4Draw 27% P 28%3.9Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Derby or Draw 38%1.3Derby or Oxford Utd 36%1.83Draw or Oxford Utd 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%49%47%-1.9
Draw28%28%29%+1.6
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.24
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9512
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 20 260 10'7
2026-04-06 30 190 24'7
2026-03-21 40 160 56'2
2026-02-28 30 310 60'8
2026-02-24 50 270 10'8
2026-02-10 · Oxford United 20 200 53'6
2026-01-17 20 200 38'7
2026-01-04 –– 23– –12
2025-12-26 20 260 11'4
2025-12-20 60 270 25'6