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Championship · Matchweek 43
Hull CityHull City
1–1
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– Hull CityBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,706

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Chris Davies
Position
6 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
15.5° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

LWDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.83–10.08 · xPts 5.11

  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 1.56–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.85–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.68–3.18 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 2.36–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 0–3 xG 0.39–2.98 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.77–6.18 · xPts 6.44

  • W H Wrexham 2–0 xG 2.24–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.53–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 1.09–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.25–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.66–1.22 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2006

Hull City 128 draws6 Birmingham City

Goals 44–28 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 44 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 13 draws1 Birmingham City

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–1 Hull City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Birmingham City 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.390.87
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 717 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.491.441.240.78
Goals against / match1.351.361.221.48
Clean sheets29%28%22%13%
Failed to score18%24%24%39%
Both teams scored61%60%56%48%
Over 2.561%56%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.491.07
xG against / match1.661.421.141.27
xG difference-0.290.040.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.251.411.571.23
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first57%48%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.410.44
Came back from behind35%36%33%32%
Leads held72%80%71%83%
Minutes leading30%28%28%11%
Minutes level53%54%42%38%
Minutes trailing17%18%31%51%
First goal (min)32303952
First goal conceded (min)40383527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.240.30
Late goals against0.310.240.150.13
Style
Possession45%47%54%52%
Shots11.111.213.69.9
On target4.13.84.12.6
Shot conversion13%13%9%8%
Shots inside box68%68%64%67%
Big chances created2.22.12.41.8
Corners4.44.25.85.0
xG from set plays21%27%30%33%
Goals from headers14%9%21%17%
Pressure index9.311.014.410.4
Dominant minutes39.846.754.344.6
Pass accuracy72%73%77%77%
Fouls11.210.811.712.3
Cards2.552.082.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 38%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Hull or Draw 33%1.3Hull or Birmingham 36%1.53Draw or Birmingham 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away34%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 30 190 57'7
2026-04-03 80 280 5'8
2026-03-21 40 251 30'5
2026-03-14 60 190 35'8
2026-03-10 · Hull City 70 201 7'6
2026-02-21 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 · Birmingham City 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 · Hull City 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5