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Championship · Matchweek 43

Momentum

Ipswich TownMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,684

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Kim Hellberg
Position
3 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jarred Gillett

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.5° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 9.06–5.29 · xPts 9.25

  • L A Portsmouth 0–2 xG 0.97–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 2.05–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.28–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 2.07–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.69–0.47 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 11.6–4.91 · xPts 10.93

  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.53–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 3.13–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 3.62–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 1.51–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.82–0.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2000

Ipswich Town 89 draws9 Middlesbrough

Goals 32–35 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 14 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 8–15 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 12 draws2 Middlesbrough

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.832.171.651.52
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 122 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.741.871.491.56
Goals against / match1.020.741.021.28
Clean sheets37%44%29%16%
Failed to score13%9%26%24%
Both teams scored56%52%55%64%
Over 2.552%56%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.591.55
xG against / match1.030.841.051.15
xG difference0.801.230.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.100.01
xPts / match1.882.161.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first54%70%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.670.64
Came back from behind60%86%46%50%
Leads held79%82%79%71%
Minutes leading33%45%32%31%
Minutes level50%48%49%47%
Minutes trailing17%8%19%22%
First goal (min)40323736
First goal conceded (min)40464645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.220.28
Late goals against0.130.040.290.28
Style
Possession56%56%59%58%
Shots15.116.516.215.3
On target5.15.74.84.5
Shot conversion12%11%9%10%
Shots inside box67%68%64%65%
Big chances created2.83.52.42.5
Corners5.76.26.85.8
xG from set plays32%29%24%18%
Goals from headers12%5%12%10%
Pressure index18.820.719.718.4
Dominant minutes62.366.763.163.2
Pass accuracy81%81%84%84%
Fouls11.210.39.39.5
Cards1.931.391.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.4Draw 28% P 27%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.4Ipswich or Draw 33%1.28Ipswich or Middlesbrough 37%1.57Draw or Middlesbrough 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 50%2.0Under 47% P 50%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw27%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Jarred Gillett

Career
179 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.64 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 21 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.054.05-1.822
Fouls / match19.921.8-1.82
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.43 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4918
Time added6.67.2-0.7118
First card
45' on average
Card timing
9% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-10 40 180 9'5
2026-03-21 20 150 38'13
2026-03-08 50 181 62'8
2026-03-04 50 190 32'14
2026-02-28 60 270 33'13
2026-02-21 30 230 12'11
2026-02-07 20 192 45'12
2026-01-25 30 190 27'12
2026-01-17 80 290 1'14
2026-01-04 10 180 34'5