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Championship · Matchweek 43
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1–0
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– PortsmouthLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,344

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Gary Rowett
Position
20 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.4° (feels 15.6°)
Wind
3.9
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.46–5.36 · xPts 6.73

  • W H Ipswich Town 2–0 xG 1.88–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.66–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 2–2 xG 0.97–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.47–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–6 xG 1.49–1.43 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 8.54–4.24 · xPts 9.64

  • L H Swansea City 0–1 xG 1.68–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.27–1.23 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 2.2–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 0–0 xG 1.88–0.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 0.51–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 8 matches since 2003

Portsmouth 33 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 12–9 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Portsmouth 33 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 12–9 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 23 draws0 Leicester City

Goals 5–3 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Portsmouth 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 0–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 6–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 0–2 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.131.04
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 912 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.071.091.261.17
Goals against / match1.391.001.481.48
Clean sheets22%26%13%13%
Failed to score28%30%20%17%
Both teams scored54%48%72%74%
Over 2.544%39%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.281.22
xG against / match1.241.121.471.67
xG difference-0.060.34-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.361.601.261.12
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first46%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.271.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.550.57
Came back from behind27%31%33%40%
Leads held64%67%46%50%
Minutes leading18%23%26%19%
Minutes level51%51%43%45%
Minutes trailing31%27%31%36%
First goal (min)50454051
First goal conceded (min)41453934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.370.43
Late goals against0.280.130.280.26
Style
Possession50%54%52%50%
Shots12.215.412.912.0
On target3.74.44.24.3
Shot conversion9%7%10%10%
Shots inside box65%67%59%66%
Big chances created1.61.81.71.5
Corners5.66.35.34.4
xG from set plays40%41%34%38%
Goals from headers16%20%12%11%
Pressure index11.714.812.69.9
Dominant minutes49.757.047.141.7
Pass accuracy74%74%80%79%
Fouls10.29.810.810.9
Cards1.931.741.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 42%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.0Away 31% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Portsmouth or Draw 35%1.36Portsmouth or Leicester 35%1.57Draw or Leicester 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 43%1.61Under 59% P 57%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away29%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2345
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-07 50 220 37'9
2026-03-21 50 280 32'8
2026-03-14 20 230 13'6
2026-03-10 · Portsmouth 30 190 33'12
2026-02-28 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 · Leicester City 30 110 50'9
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8
2026-01-11 30 140 54'7