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Championship · Matchweek 43
Preston North EndPNE
0–2
FT
West Bromwich AlbionWBA

Momentum

– PNEWBA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,996

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · James Morrison
Position
13 · 21
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
10.4° (feels 9.4°)
Wind
7.4
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.56–7.06 · xPts 6.56

  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 1.64–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.53–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 0.65–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.81–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 1.91–0.61 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 10.52–4.86 · xPts 9.82

  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.98–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.74–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.99–0.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–0 xG 2.98–0.39 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2006

Preston North End 43 draws13 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 17–38 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 22 draws6 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 7–18 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 01 draws4 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 3–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 0–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 3–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–4 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.150.83
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 813 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.201.221.040.87
Goals against / match1.351.301.261.43
Clean sheets20%22%30%26%
Failed to score26%26%33%35%
Both teams scored59%56%50%48%
Over 2.548%48%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.441.21
xG against / match1.631.421.051.32
xG difference-0.45-0.200.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.131.251.621.29
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first41%39%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.380.14
Came back from behind38%43%17%12%
Leads held62%73%62%71%
Minutes leading28%27%25%18%
Minutes level45%46%50%49%
Minutes trailing27%27%25%33%
First goal (min)36404246
First goal conceded (min)42434541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.260.35
Late goals against0.300.350.260.22
Style
Possession46%48%52%50%
Shots10.911.313.411.7
On target3.63.44.13.5
Shot conversion11%11%8%7%
Shots inside box68%69%65%67%
Big chances created1.61.72.11.9
Corners4.55.35.24.2
xG from set plays34%35%36%30%
Goals from headers22%21%26%30%
Pressure index8.89.513.410.4
Dominant minutes40.542.352.948.6
Pass accuracy72%73%80%79%
Fouls10.410.110.210.4
Cards2.092.131.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.1Away 45% P 44%

Double Chance

1.7Preston or Draw 28%1.33Preston or West Brom 35%1.28Draw or West Brom 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw28%29%32%+2.9
Away44%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.05+0.4563
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.21
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2667
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-14 20 130 5'6
2026-04-06 51 240 17'9
2026-03-21 70 211 12'9
2026-03-14 · West Bromwich Albion 51 210 36'11
2026-03-08 –– 12– –5
2026-02-22 82 310 16'9
2026-02-15 30 150 45'6
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6
2026-01-31 30 150 25'12
2026-01-24 50 191 22'7