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Championship · Matchweek 43
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–2
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– Swansea CitySouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,776

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Tonda Eckert
Position
14 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.7° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.91–9.28 · xPts 5.57

  • W A Leicester City 1–0 xG 0.61–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.28–3.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 3–3 xG 2.01–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–3 xG 1.18–2.49 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.82–0.76 UK CHAMP

Southampton

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 3 · xG 9.22–5.38 · xPts 9.27

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 2.23–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.57–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 5–1 xG 2.31–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Arsenal 2–1 xG 0.81–1.82 UK FA Cup
  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 2.29–0.68 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2008

Swansea City 35 draws13 Southampton

Goals 15–33 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 12 draws7 Southampton

Goals 7–21 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 01 draws4 Southampton

Goals 3–11 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–0 Swansea City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Swansea City 1–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 5–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–3 Southampton aet UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.391.701.751.54
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 623 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.481.751.83
Goals against / match1.281.171.191.54
Clean sheets26%30%25%8%
Failed to score22%9%12%8%
Both teams scored54%61%71%88%
Over 2.550%52%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.711.64
xG against / match1.371.371.331.57
xG difference-0.15-0.020.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.040.20
xPts / match1.281.361.591.41
Points vs xPts0.120.340.160.13
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.480.671.261.20
Came back from behind28%40%54%46%
Leads held72%69%72%62%
Minutes leading25%28%34%31%
Minutes level48%48%49%49%
Minutes trailing27%23%18%20%
First goal (min)46494040
First goal conceded (min)40374446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.380.50
Late goals against0.300.300.270.38
Style
Possession55%56%56%54%
Shots12.313.614.413.1
On target3.93.85.35.1
Shot conversion10%11%12%14%
Shots inside box58%60%68%71%
Big chances created1.71.72.92.8
Corners4.55.15.85.0
xG from set plays36%36%28%32%
Goals from headers13%16%22%19%
Pressure index12.815.217.914.7
Dominant minutes51.958.059.054.2
Pass accuracy79%80%83%82%
Fouls9.89.110.711.5
Cards2.001.911.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.1Home 23% P 23%4.33Draw 22% P 23%1.7Away 55% P 54%

Double Chance

2.0Swansea or Draw 24%1.22Swansea or Southampton 39%1.25Draw or Southampton 38%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%23%21%-2.5
Draw23%23%20%-3.2
Away54%54%59%+5.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 10 201 12'5
2026-03-21 20 150 24'5
2026-03-07 30 180 33'6
2026-02-24 · Southampton 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 · Southampton 30 190 64'8