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Championship · Matchweek 43
WatfordWatford
0–2
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– WatfordSHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
43

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,495

Teams

Coaches
Edward Still · Chris Wilder
Position
12 · 17
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.9° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
47%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.56–8.6 · xPts 5.29

  • L A Oxford United 0–2 xG 1.35–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.58–2.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 0.72–2.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.33–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.57–0.33 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 8.81–6.89 · xPts 8.2

  • W H Hull City 2–1 xG 2.44–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–1 xG 1.58–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 3–3 xG 1.22–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 1–2 xG 2.35–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.22–1.66 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Watford 63 draws11 Sheffield United

Goals 19–21 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 32 draws5 Sheffield United

Goals 7–8 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 00 draws5 Sheffield United

Goals 1–7 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Watford 0–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–0 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 1–1 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Sheffield United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Watford 3–0 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.241.611.301.26
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 618 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.151.301.431.22
Goals against / match1.411.171.431.43
Clean sheets15%22%22%22%
Failed to score30%30%24%35%
Both teams scored59%52%56%44%
Over 2.548%44%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.501.641.42
xG against / match1.251.151.311.47
xG difference0.100.340.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.19-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.431.571.571.34
Points vs xPts-0.200.04-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first26%30%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.332.711.841.83
PPG when conceding first0.841.130.650.64
Came back from behind47%60%18%20%
Leads held67%91%62%64%
Minutes leading18%25%27%26%
Minutes level49%48%44%46%
Minutes trailing34%27%29%28%
First goal (min)48423935
First goal conceded (min)34364038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.200.13
Late goals against0.280.220.260.26
Style
Possession51%52%52%47%
Shots13.815.713.411.3
On target4.45.44.33.7
Shot conversion8%8%11%11%
Shots inside box58%57%68%68%
Big chances created2.12.42.52.3
Corners4.95.46.65.7
xG from set plays27%23%35%30%
Goals from headers14%17%8%4%
Pressure index10.912.415.19.6
Dominant minutes47.052.250.541.5
Pass accuracy80%81%76%73%
Fouls11.011.110.310.8
Cards2.151.871.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 33%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.35Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Watford or Draw 31%1.3Watford or Sheff Utd 36%1.4Draw or Sheff Utd 33%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.7
Away40%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3337
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.87
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3829
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 50 140 33'10
2026-04-03 20 210 21'8
2026-03-21 60 261 22'4
2026-03-07 60 300 19'6
2026-02-25 · Sheffield United 50 260 9'10
2026-02-21 30 170 76'13
2026-02-07 21 210 5'7
2026-01-31 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9