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Championship · Matchweek 44

Momentum

MIDSHF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,245

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Henrik Pedersen
Position
5 · 24
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
6.9° (feels 4.4°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 12.33–6.72 · xPts 10.15

  • D A Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 2.55–2.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.53–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 3.13–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 3.62–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 1.51–0.49 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.9–11.94 · xPts 3.59

  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.89–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 1.26–3.08 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.23–2.27 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–2 xG 1.72–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–3 xG 0.8–2.36 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 25 matches since 2009

Middlesbrough 134 draws8 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 37–29 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 52 draws3 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 16–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 31 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–4 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.790.390.35
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 52 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.491.420.630.65
Goals against / match1.020.751.931.96
Clean sheets29%42%9%13%
Failed to score26%29%50%48%
Both teams scored55%46%48%48%
Over 2.553%42%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.620.880.80
xG against / match1.050.952.012.07
xG difference0.530.67-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.701.800.730.62
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first53%54%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.462.621.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.100.12
Came back from behind46%38%9%10%
Leads held79%86%15%20%
Minutes leading32%33%13%9%
Minutes level49%52%41%37%
Minutes trailing19%15%46%53%
First goal (min)37383840
First goal conceded (min)46473628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.070.09
Late goals against0.290.290.430.43
Style
Possession59%60%45%43%
Shots16.217.38.78.0
On target4.85.22.52.5
Shot conversion9%8%7%8%
Shots inside box64%63%68%65%
Big chances created2.42.31.20.9
Corners6.87.84.33.9
xG from set plays24%30%33%29%
Goals from headers12%15%17%7%
Pressure index19.721.06.96.1
Dominant minutes63.163.132.829.2
Pass accuracy84%84%73%72%
Fouls9.39.211.811.9
Cards1.611.081.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.12Home 83% P 83%8.0Draw 12% P 11%19.0Away 5% P 5%

Double Chance

1.02Middlesbrough or Draw 47%1.1Middlesbrough or Sheff Wed 44%5.0Draw or Sheff Wed 10%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 73%3.4Under 28% P 27%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.0Over 14 15%

Number of Cards

2.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%86%+2.5
Draw11%11%9%-1.4
Away5%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.573%73%74%+0.3

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.436
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.29
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2247
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 20 210 25'9
2026-04-06 20 220 53'5
2026-03-11 20 160 27'6
2026-03-07 60 230 31'9
2026-02-24 40 220 56'6
2026-02-21 40 240 23'5
2026-02-07 20 170 22'10
2026-01-31 · Sheffield Wednesday 20 8
2026-01-04 50 271 48'9
2025-12-29 50 230 23'9