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Championship · Matchweek 44
Oxford UnitedOXF
0–1
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– OXFWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,128

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Phil Parkinson
Position
22 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-1-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.0° (feels 5.9°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
49%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.21–6.64 · xPts 6.92

  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 2–0 xG 1.58–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 1–1 xG 3.18–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–2 xG 0.68–2.29 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

WDLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.73–9.44 · xPts 4.91

  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.58–0.71 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–2 xG 0.11–2.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–5 xG 0.89–2.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.32–2.35 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2013

Oxford United 10 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Oxford United 10 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Oxford United 10 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 2–3 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 1–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 1–2 Oxford United UK FA Cup · 2nd Round
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.541.48
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 819 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.981.041.501.22
Goals against / match1.281.171.411.22
Clean sheets17%22%26%30%
Failed to score41%39%13%22%
Both teams scored52%48%65%56%
Over 2.546%44%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.220.91
xG against / match1.431.171.481.68
xG difference-0.250.19-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.280.31
xPts / match1.211.481.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.320.57
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.951.10
Came back from behind19%27%46%42%
Leads held58%70%63%64%
Minutes leading21%23%31%32%
Minutes level47%47%46%49%
Minutes trailing32%30%23%20%
First goal (min)28263736
First goal conceded (min)35334043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.370.26
Late goals against0.150.040.410.48
Style
Possession40%42%48%45%
Shots11.914.111.38.5
On target3.44.23.82.7
Shot conversion8%7%13%14%
Shots inside box54%55%66%64%
Big chances created1.61.72.31.7
Corners4.04.64.53.7
xG from set plays40%46%32%25%
Goals from headers16%12%29%15%
Pressure index6.49.110.17.1
Dominant minutes33.744.241.932.4
Pass accuracy69%69%78%76%
Fouls10.810.59.710.5
Cards1.671.301.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Oxford Utd or Draw 35%1.36Oxford Utd or Wrexham 35%1.53Draw or Wrexham 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 30 260 37'7
2026-04-06 60 253 45'10
2026-03-14 · Oxford United 70 312 30'7
2026-03-10 30 200 55'10
2026-03-07 62 150 29'12
2026-03-04 60 260 17'10
2026-02-24 40 250 30'10
2026-02-14 20 140 3'4
2026-01-31 20 180 11'6
2026-01-20 · Wrexham 30 240 68'11