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Championship · Matchweek 44
Queens Park RangersQPR
1–2
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– QPRSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,835

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Vítor Matos
Position
11 · 15
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.1° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 6.31–5.38 · xPts 7.25

  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.15–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 1.02–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.2–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 2–1 xG 2.51–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 6–1 xG 1.43–1.49 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.48–10.11 · xPts 5.44

  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.39–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 1–0 xG 0.61–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.28–3.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 3–3 xG 2.01–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–3 xG 1.18–2.49 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

Queens Park Rangers 99 draws11 Swansea City

Goals 30–35 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 34% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 33 draws4 Swansea City

Goals 7–10 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 20 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.391.09
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1018 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.331.741.241.00
Goals against / match1.591.611.281.39
Clean sheets22%17%26%22%
Failed to score28%17%22%35%
Both teams scored63%74%54%48%
Over 2.563%78%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.221.10
xG against / match1.331.211.371.37
xG difference-0.030.42-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.02-0.10
xPts / match1.371.681.281.19
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first33%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.480.36
Came back from behind26%17%28%20%
Leads held84%77%72%78%
Minutes leading20%30%25%22%
Minutes level46%45%48%47%
Minutes trailing34%26%27%31%
First goal (min)45414643
First goal conceded (min)34434042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.350.26
Late goals against0.260.480.300.30
Style
Possession46%47%55%54%
Shots12.714.312.311.0
On target4.15.03.94.0
Shot conversion10%12%10%9%
Shots inside box63%63%58%56%
Big chances created1.82.41.71.8
Corners4.85.44.54.0
xG from set plays31%28%36%36%
Goals from headers17%15%13%9%
Pressure index11.715.412.810.5
Dominant minutes46.754.451.945.9
Pass accuracy76%75%79%79%
Fouls11.011.19.810.6
Cards1.912.132.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 42%3.25Draw 29% P 27%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.33QPR or Draw 36%1.33QPR or Swansea 36%1.66Draw or Swansea 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw27%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.18
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 –– 18– –9
2026-03-14 60 240 17'7
2026-02-28 70 240 36'7
2026-02-21 90 240 26'10
2026-02-17 90 231 7'8
2026-02-03 70 210 34'7
2026-01-20 30 190 41'5
2025-12-29 60 220 15'8
2025-12-26 30 230 8'5
2025-12-09 30 231 40'6