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Championship · Matchweek 44
SouthamptonSouthampton
2–2
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– SouthamptonBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,446

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Roy Hodgson
Position
4 · 10
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.1° (feels 8.6°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 4 · xG 8.52–6.1 · xPts 8.39

  • W A Swansea City 2–1 xG 1.59–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 2.23–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.57–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 5–1 xG 2.31–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Arsenal 2–1 xG 0.81–1.82 UK FA Cup

Bristol City

LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.86–9.59 · xPts 4.9

  • L H Norwich City 2–4 xG 1.61–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.2–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.34–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 2.46–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.24–2.99 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 11 matches since 2007

Southampton 31 draws7 Bristol City

Goals 12–17 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 31 draws6 Bristol City

Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 21 draws2 Bristol City

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 4–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 0–1 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–0 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.351.35
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 317 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.751.671.281.13
Goals against / match1.190.831.281.22
Clean sheets25%42%30%26%
Failed to score12%17%33%35%
Both teams scored71%54%46%52%
Over 2.562%54%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.181.16
xG against / match1.331.091.481.46
xG difference0.380.69-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.110.10-0.03
xPts / match1.591.781.201.19
Points vs xPts0.160.180.150.16
Game state
Scored first52%50%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.332.50
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.670.67
Came back from behind54%67%31%33%
Leads held72%81%77%80%
Minutes leading34%36%30%28%
Minutes level49%48%41%43%
Minutes trailing18%16%29%29%
First goal (min)40393236
First goal conceded (min)44403029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.240.13
Late goals against0.270.170.240.17
Style
Possession56%58%49%46%
Shots14.415.812.211.7
On target5.35.54.14.2
Shot conversion12%11%10%10%
Shots inside box68%66%60%62%
Big chances created2.92.91.91.9
Corners5.86.54.85.0
xG from set plays28%26%24%29%
Goals from headers22%25%21%20%
Pressure index17.921.111.99.3
Dominant minutes59.063.843.939.0
Pass accuracy83%84%78%76%
Fouls10.79.89.510.3
Cards1.881.631.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-2-2-21 2%3.02.00.00.962.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 69% P 70%4.75Draw 20% P 18%8.5Away 11% P 12%

Double Chance

1.08Southampton or Draw 44%1.2Southampton or Bristol City 39%2.75Draw or Bristol City 17%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 60%2.2Under 43% P 40%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%69%72%+3.5
Draw18%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.44
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.792
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 30 280 3'10
2026-03-10 60 230 31'12
2026-03-03 · Bristol City 70 290 13'7
2026-02-07 · Southampton 40 200 53'8
2026-01-20 40 220 14'5
2026-01-11 40 230 55'6
2025-12-20 30 220 31'10
2025-11-01 50 300 32'6
2025-10-25 40 230 69'13
2025-10-22 41 240 37'8