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Championship · Matchweek 44
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
3–0
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– WBAWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,805

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Edward Still
Position
20 · 13
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.5° (feels 4.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

WDDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 8.55–6.18 · xPts 7.98

  • W A Preston North End 2–0 xG 1.0–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.98–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.74–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 1.83–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 2.99–0.24 UK CHAMP

Watford

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.33–9.11 · xPts 4.73

  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.34–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–2 xG 1.35–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.58–2.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 0.72–2.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.33–1.88 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2007

West Bromwich Albion 67 draws6 Watford

Goals 30–22 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 33 draws4 Watford

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 30 draws2 Watford

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–0 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.240.87
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 514 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.041.221.151.00
Goals against / match1.261.091.411.65
Clean sheets30%35%15%9%
Failed to score33%30%30%30%
Both teams scored50%52%59%65%
Over 2.546%44%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.341.19
xG against / match1.050.781.251.34
xG difference0.390.890.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.45-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.621.951.431.30
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.48-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first41%52%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.840.59
Came back from behind17%29%47%35%
Leads held62%57%67%40%
Minutes leading25%32%18%10%
Minutes level50%52%49%50%
Minutes trailing25%16%34%40%
First goal (min)42384853
First goal conceded (min)45503432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.300.30
Late goals against0.260.300.280.35
Style
Possession52%54%51%51%
Shots13.415.213.812.0
On target4.14.74.43.5
Shot conversion8%8%8%8%
Shots inside box65%63%58%58%
Big chances created2.12.42.12.0
Corners5.26.14.94.4
xG from set plays36%41%27%31%
Goals from headers26%22%14%9%
Pressure index13.416.310.99.5
Dominant minutes52.957.347.041.8
Pass accuracy80%81%80%79%
Fouls10.210.111.010.8
Cards1.831.612.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 57%3.8Draw 25% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16West Brom or Draw 41%1.25West Brom or Watford 38%2.2Draw or Watford 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 100 331 13'8
2026-04-03 20 180 13'7
2026-03-16 80 270 40'8
2026-03-11 40 180 24'–
2026-02-28 10 300 39'5
2026-02-20 40 180 40'9
2026-02-11 60 110 49'8
2026-02-03 70 210 17'11
2026-01-23 · West Bromwich Albion 50 270 5'9
2026-01-20 50 240 11'8