KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 44
Birmingham CityBRC
2–1
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– BRCPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,798

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
14 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.0° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.71–6.03 · xPts 5.71

  • D A Hull City 1–1 xG 0.59–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–0 xG 2.24–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.53–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 1.09–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.25–1.91 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.36–7.45 · xPts 6.16

  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–2 xG 1.71–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 1.64–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.53–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 0.65–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.81–1.25 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2006

Birmingham City 76 draws11 Preston North End

Goals 25–28 · 2.21 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 52 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 10–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 30 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.301.26
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 315 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.701.201.17
Goals against / match1.220.961.351.39
Clean sheets22%30%20%17%
Failed to score24%9%26%26%
Both teams scored56%65%59%61%
Over 2.546%48%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.181.14
xG against / match1.141.001.631.83
xG difference0.350.91-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.210.020.04
xPts / match1.571.921.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.010.170.25
Game state
Scored first50%78%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.680.67
Came back from behind33%40%38%33%
Leads held71%67%62%54%
Minutes leading28%44%28%30%
Minutes level42%46%45%43%
Minutes trailing31%10%27%27%
First goal (min)39303632
First goal conceded (min)35464240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.260.22
Late goals against0.150.170.300.26
Style
Possession54%55%46%44%
Shots13.617.310.910.6
On target4.15.73.63.8
Shot conversion9%10%11%11%
Shots inside box64%63%68%66%
Big chances created2.43.01.61.6
Corners5.86.64.53.7
xG from set plays30%29%34%33%
Goals from headers21%24%22%22%
Pressure index14.418.38.88.1
Dominant minutes54.364.040.538.6
Pass accuracy77%77%72%72%
Fouls11.711.010.410.7
Cards2.112.002.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 62% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.75Away 16% P 17%

Double Chance

1.18Birmingham or Draw 40%1.25Birmingham or Preston 37%2.05Draw or Preston 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 56%2.0Under 47% P 44%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.54
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1792
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 50 270 30'8
2026-03-21 30 210 31'3
2026-03-11 40 180 44'–
2026-02-28 · Preston North End 50 260 57'7
2026-02-24 50 301 25'15
2026-02-10 10 240 30'10
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 · Birmingham City 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 60 220 30'8