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Championship · Matchweek 44

Momentum

CHAIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,706

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Kieran McKenna
Position
20 · 3
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andy Madley

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.3° (feels 8.9°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 9.24–8.43 · xPts 7.52

  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.73–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.8–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 2.3–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.9–2.46 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–1 xG 1.51–1.86 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.59–7.37 · xPts 7.84

  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.22–2.55 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–2 xG 0.97–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 2.05–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.28–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 2.07–1.52 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2000

Charlton Athletic 73 draws8 Ipswich Town

Goals 20–24 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 22 draws6 Ipswich Town

Goals 8–14 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 11 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–3 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 3–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–2 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.351.831.48
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1023 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.961.001.741.61
Goals against / match1.261.131.021.30
Clean sheets28%35%37%30%
Failed to score22%17%13%17%
Both teams scored54%52%56%61%
Over 2.539%44%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.831.59
xG against / match1.551.341.031.22
xG difference-0.40-0.080.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.27-0.090.02
xPts / match1.191.381.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first48%56%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.780.58
Came back from behind24%9%60%46%
Leads held59%69%79%75%
Minutes leading16%18%33%21%
Minutes level56%51%50%53%
Minutes trailing28%31%17%26%
First goal (min)56524050
First goal conceded (min)43344035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.500.52
Late goals against0.330.040.130.22
Style
Possession42%45%56%56%
Shots11.012.815.113.7
On target3.54.15.14.5
Shot conversion9%8%12%12%
Shots inside box68%69%67%66%
Big chances created1.92.12.82.2
Corners4.15.15.75.2
xG from set plays39%36%32%36%
Goals from headers19%17%12%19%
Pressure index7.09.318.816.9
Dominant minutes34.441.362.357.8
Pass accuracy70%71%81%80%
Fouls12.011.311.212.0
Cards2.202.301.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.75Home 16% P 15%4.0Draw 23% P 23%1.55Away 60% P 62%

Double Chance

2.37Charlton or Draw 20%1.22Charlton or Ipswich 38%1.12Draw or Ipswich 42%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%16%15%-1.7
Draw23%23%20%-3.0
Away62%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Andy Madley

Career
313 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.534.05+0.8782
Fouls / match23.221.8+1.19
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17-0.0353
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
36' on average
Card timing
9% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-22 22 6
2026-04-12 30 291 68'7
2026-04-03 30 171 38'8
2026-03-14 23 61'14
2026-03-09 20 262 80'10
2026-03-05 51 281 7'13
2026-03-01 40 250 30'13
2026-02-21 40 220 37'11
2026-02-10 41 291 57'8
2026-02-07 40 322 44'13