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Championship · Matchweek 44

Momentum

LEIHull City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
44

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,062

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Sergej Jakirović
Position
23 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.9° (feels 3.6°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 9.11–3.89 · xPts 10.33

  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.08–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–1 xG 1.68–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.27–1.23 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 2.2–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 0–0 xG 1.88–0.33 UK CHAMP

Hull City

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.51–7.69 · xPts 6.67

  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.07–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 1.56–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.85–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.68–3.18 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 2.36–0.8 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Leicester City 76 draws7 Hull City

Goals 24–24 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 34 draws3 Hull City

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 12 draws2 Hull City

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Leicester City 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 0–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.131.221.631.58
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 923 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.351.491.54
Goals against / match1.481.481.351.33
Clean sheets13%13%29%29%
Failed to score20%22%18%12%
Both teams scored72%70%61%62%
Over 2.554%52%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.371.27
xG against / match1.471.271.661.91
xG difference-0.190.07-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.020.010.120.27
xPts / match1.261.391.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.380.49
Game state
Scored first48%61%57%67%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.880.71
Came back from behind33%25%35%33%
Leads held46%44%72%65%
Minutes leading26%34%30%32%
Minutes level43%41%53%52%
Minutes trailing31%25%17%16%
First goal (min)40303233
First goal conceded (min)39444044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.270.33
Late goals against0.280.300.310.38
Style
Possession52%54%45%43%
Shots12.913.811.111.0
On target4.24.04.14.3
Shot conversion10%10%13%14%
Shots inside box59%54%68%68%
Big chances created1.72.02.22.3
Corners5.36.14.44.6
xG from set plays34%30%21%13%
Goals from headers12%13%14%19%
Pressure index12.615.39.37.6
Dominant minutes47.152.439.832.6
Pass accuracy80%82%72%71%
Fouls10.810.711.211.5
Cards1.961.742.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.1Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.33Leicester or Draw 36%1.28Leicester or Hull 37%1.72Draw or Hull 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw25%28%30%+2.4
Away30%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 20 200 75'10
2026-04-11 70 200 26'8
2026-04-06 40 120 13'9
2026-03-21 20 160 38'2
2026-03-14 30 190 51'10
2026-03-10 40 271 42'8
2026-03-02 60 230 58'9
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4