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Championship · Matchweek 45
Birmingham CityBRC
2–1
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– BRCBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,210

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Roy Hodgson
Position
10 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robert Jones

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.1° (feels 19.0°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
30%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.49–6.87 · xPts 6.97

  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 3.04–2.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 1–1 xG 0.59–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–0 xG 2.24–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.53–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 1.09–1.66 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.42–9.33 · xPts 5.17

  • D A Southampton 2–2 xG 0.8–2.73 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 2–4 xG 1.61–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.2–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.34–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 2.46–1.9 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2008

Birmingham City 175 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 42–25 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 52 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 22 draws1 Bristol City

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.351.35
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 317 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.701.281.13
Goals against / match1.220.961.281.22
Clean sheets22%30%30%26%
Failed to score24%9%33%35%
Both teams scored56%65%46%52%
Over 2.546%48%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.181.16
xG against / match1.141.001.481.46
xG difference0.350.91-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.210.10-0.03
xPts / match1.571.921.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.010.150.16
Game state
Scored first50%78%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.670.67
Came back from behind33%40%31%33%
Leads held71%67%77%80%
Minutes leading28%44%30%28%
Minutes level42%46%41%43%
Minutes trailing31%10%29%29%
First goal (min)39303236
First goal conceded (min)35463029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.240.13
Late goals against0.150.170.240.17
Style
Possession54%55%49%46%
Shots13.617.312.211.7
On target4.15.74.14.2
Shot conversion9%10%10%10%
Shots inside box64%63%60%62%
Big chances created2.43.01.91.9
Corners5.86.64.85.0
xG from set plays30%29%24%29%
Goals from headers21%24%21%20%
Pressure index14.418.311.99.3
Dominant minutes54.364.043.939.0
Pass accuracy77%77%78%76%
Fouls11.711.09.510.3
Cards2.112.001.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 51%3.8Draw 25% P 25%4.2Away 23% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Birmingham or Draw 38%1.25Birmingham or Bristol City 38%1.95Draw or Bristol City 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away24%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Robert Jones

Career
222 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.184.05+0.2359
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0557
Time added6.07.2-1.414
First card
23' on average
Card timing
28% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 60 290 28'16
2026-04-06 50 180 23'4
2026-02-10 80 222 8'9
2026-02-01 60 270 11'13
2026-01-17 60 230 17'6
2025-12-30 30 120 28'10
2025-12-27 30 180 36'6
2025-12-13 40 220 60'10
2025-12-06 70 170 29'10
2025-11-30 50 281 17'9