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Championship · Matchweek 45
Charlton AthleticCHA
2–1
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– CHAHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,671

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Sergej Jakirović
Position
21 · 7
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.4° (feels 18.0°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
22%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 8.01–9.09 · xPts 6.54

  • L H Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.27–2.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.73–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.8–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 2.3–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.9–2.46 UK CHAMP

Hull City

DDLDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.99–10.25 · xPts 5.03

  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.83–3.36 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.07–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 1.56–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.85–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 1–1 xG 0.68–3.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 10 matches since 2007

Charlton Athletic 44 draws2 Hull City

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 44 draws2 Hull City

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 22 draws1 Hull City

Goals 6–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 6–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.151.351.631.58
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1023 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match0.961.001.491.54
Goals against / match1.261.131.351.33
Clean sheets28%35%29%29%
Failed to score22%17%18%12%
Both teams scored54%52%61%62%
Over 2.539%44%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.371.27
xG against / match1.551.341.661.91
xG difference-0.40-0.08-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.270.120.27
xPts / match1.191.381.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.030.380.49
Game state
Scored first48%56%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.880.71
Came back from behind24%9%35%33%
Leads held59%69%72%65%
Minutes leading16%18%30%32%
Minutes level56%51%53%52%
Minutes trailing28%31%17%16%
First goal (min)56523233
First goal conceded (min)43344044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.270.33
Late goals against0.330.040.310.38
Style
Possession42%45%45%43%
Shots11.012.811.111.0
On target3.54.14.14.3
Shot conversion9%8%13%14%
Shots inside box68%69%68%68%
Big chances created1.92.12.22.3
Corners4.15.14.44.6
xG from set plays39%36%21%13%
Goals from headers19%17%14%19%
Pressure index7.09.39.37.6
Dominant minutes34.441.339.832.6
Pass accuracy70%71%72%71%
Fouls12.011.311.211.5
Cards2.202.302.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.037
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.172
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.373
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 31% P 30%3.2Draw 30% P 29%2.37Away 40% P 41%

Double Chance

1.5Charlton or Draw 32%1.36Charlton or Hull 35%1.4Draw or Hull 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away41%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.25
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4520
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 40 200 19'6
2026-04-03 20 271 29'10
2026-03-13 20 200 62'9
2026-03-10 50 241 36'5
2026-03-07 20 140 83'5
2026-02-28 40 190 79'6
2026-01-30 20 240 11'8
2026-01-24 61 261 39'11
2026-01-17 –– 24– –7
2026-01-10 50 320 34'9