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Championship · Matchweek 45
Leicester CityLEI
1–1
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– LEIMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,729

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Alex Neil
Position
23 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.5° (feels 8.8°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 10.59–5.39 · xPts 10.04

  • D H Hull City 2–2 xG 3.36–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.08–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–1 xG 1.68–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.27–1.23 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 2.2–0.65 UK CHAMP

Millwall

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 6.82–8.59 · xPts 6.58

  • W A Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.69–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 2–0 xG 1.44–0.15 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 1.44–1.98 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.18–1.92 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 2–1 xG 1.07–3.62 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Leicester City 62 draws8 Millwall

Goals 20–21 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 41 draws5 Millwall

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 21 draws2 Millwall

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Leicester City 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–3 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Leicester City 3–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • W Millwall 1–3 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.131.221.751.75
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 924 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.261.351.331.29
Goals against / match1.481.481.061.00
Clean sheets13%13%40%33%
Failed to score20%22%21%21%
Both teams scored72%70%48%58%
Over 2.554%52%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.501.38
xG against / match1.471.271.331.51
xG difference-0.190.070.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG-0.020.01-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.261.391.471.30
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.170.280.45
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%46%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.791.00
Came back from behind33%25%43%60%
Leads held46%44%86%85%
Minutes leading26%34%27%20%
Minutes level43%41%56%61%
Minutes trailing31%25%17%18%
First goal (min)40304451
First goal conceded (min)39444342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.350.38
Late goals against0.280.300.350.25
Style
Possession52%54%48%46%
Shots12.913.812.912.3
On target4.24.04.23.8
Shot conversion10%10%10%10%
Shots inside box59%54%68%65%
Big chances created1.72.02.32.2
Corners5.36.15.75.2
xG from set plays34%30%33%30%
Goals from headers12%13%16%13%
Pressure index12.615.311.99.1
Dominant minutes47.152.444.439.2
Pass accuracy80%82%70%69%
Fouls10.810.712.614.4
Cards1.961.741.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.2Home 22% P 23%4.0Draw 24% P 23%1.75Away 54% P 54%

Double Chance

2.1Leicester or Draw 22%1.22Leicester or Millwall 38%1.18Draw or Millwall 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%23%21%-2.5
Draw23%23%20%-3.2
Away54%54%59%+5.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.03
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.17.2-0.1343
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-22 60 150 15'6
2026-04-14 40 190 35'5
2026-04-11 20 131 2'8
2026-04-04 10 201 33'3
2026-03-20 30 190 26'8
2026-03-14 50 261 53'8
2026-03-06 30 200 17'9
2026-02-28 30 150 17'7
2026-02-21 10 200 39'10
2026-02-13 40 160 45'4