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Championship · Matchweek 45
Norwich CityNorwich City
1–1
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– Norwich CitySwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,454

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Vítor Matos
Position
9 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Parsons

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.1° (feels 18.0°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
34%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.0–6.26 · xPts 7.35

  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.55–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 4–2 xG 2.1–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.9–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 1.92–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.54–0.47 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 8.61–9.29 · xPts 6.54

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 2.31–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.39–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 1–0 xG 0.61–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.28–3.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 3–3 xG 2.01–1.22 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2008

Norwich City 104 draws10 Swansea City

Goals 36–36 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 32 draws5 Swansea City

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 12 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Norwich City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 5–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–0 Norwich City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–0 Swansea City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.391.09
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1118 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.371.171.241.00
Goals against / match1.221.221.281.39
Clean sheets20%17%26%22%
Failed to score20%26%22%35%
Both teams scored61%56%54%48%
Over 2.548%44%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.221.10
xG against / match1.461.271.371.37
xG difference-0.100.14-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.02-0.10
xPts / match1.351.461.281.19
Points vs xPts0.06-0.160.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first52%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.480.36
Came back from behind27%21%28%20%
Leads held68%69%72%78%
Minutes leading28%24%25%22%
Minutes level48%53%48%47%
Minutes trailing24%24%27%31%
First goal (min)42494643
First goal conceded (min)46504042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.350.26
Late goals against0.300.300.300.30
Style
Possession54%56%55%54%
Shots12.613.712.311.0
On target4.54.53.94.0
Shot conversion11%9%10%9%
Shots inside box64%62%58%56%
Big chances created2.32.51.71.8
Corners5.35.74.54.0
xG from set plays25%27%36%36%
Goals from headers10%8%13%9%
Pressure index12.514.112.810.5
Dominant minutes53.258.851.945.9
Pass accuracy79%80%79%79%
Fouls10.210.09.810.6
Cards1.931.572.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 56%3.9Draw 24% P 23%4.75Away 20% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Norwich or Draw 40%1.25Norwich or Swansea 38%2.1Draw or Swansea 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.2
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%55%+0.8

Thomas Parsons

Career
10 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 3 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 30 300 15'7
2026-01-10 40 211 23'7
2025-11-02 40 301 41'15