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Championship · Matchweek 45
Oxford UnitedOXF
4–1
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– OXFSHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,476

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Henrik Pedersen
Position
22 · 24
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.3° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
21%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 7.67–5.92 · xPts 7.55

  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.13–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 2–0 xG 1.58–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 1–1 xG 3.18–0.68 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 5.78–11.22 · xPts 3.79

  • L A Middlesbrough 0–1 xG 0.68–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.89–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 1.26–3.08 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.23–2.27 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–2 xG 1.72–2.5 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Oxford United 30 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 30 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 30 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–5 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Oxford United 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.260.390.35
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 82 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match0.981.040.630.65
Goals against / match1.281.171.931.96
Clean sheets17%22%9%13%
Failed to score41%39%50%48%
Both teams scored52%48%48%48%
Over 2.546%44%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.360.880.80
xG against / match1.431.172.012.07
xG difference-0.250.19-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.32-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.211.480.730.62
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.22-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first39%44%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.062.401.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.100.12
Came back from behind19%27%9%10%
Leads held58%70%15%20%
Minutes leading21%23%13%9%
Minutes level47%47%41%37%
Minutes trailing32%30%46%53%
First goal (min)28263840
First goal conceded (min)35333628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.070.09
Late goals against0.150.040.430.43
Style
Possession40%42%45%43%
Shots11.914.18.78.0
On target3.44.22.52.5
Shot conversion8%7%7%8%
Shots inside box54%55%68%65%
Big chances created1.61.71.20.9
Corners4.04.64.33.9
xG from set plays40%46%33%29%
Goals from headers16%12%17%7%
Pressure index6.49.16.96.1
Dominant minutes33.744.232.829.2
Pass accuracy69%69%73%72%
Fouls10.810.511.811.9
Cards1.671.301.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-1-24 9%0.251.02.51.242.19
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 59% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 21%4.75Away 20% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Oxford Utd or Draw 42%1.18Oxford Utd or Sheff Wed 40%2.62Draw or Sheff Wed 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46%1.72No 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw21%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1494
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.39
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0551
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 81 190 31'8
2025-11-05 60 170 11'5
2025-10-25 31 200 19'13
2025-10-18 10 130 54'8
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 40 270 41'12
2025-08-09 60 180 57'9