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Championship · Matchweek 45
Stoke CityStoke City
1–3
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– Stoke CityPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
45

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,894

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · John Mousinho
Position
17 · 20
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.0° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
44%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.52–8.77 · xPts 5.82

  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 0.92–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.71–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.8–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 0.59–3.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.5–1.72 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.66–6.94 · xPts 5.58

  • L A Coventry City 1–5 xG 0.09–2.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 1–0 xG 1.06–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–0 xG 1.88–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.66–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 2–2 xG 0.97–0.89 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Stoke City 41 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 15–12 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Stoke City 41 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 15–12 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 30 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 11–8 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 6–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–2 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.201.09
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 814 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.111.481.071.04
Goals against / match1.221.221.391.78
Clean sheets28%26%22%17%
Failed to score37%22%28%26%
Both teams scored44%61%54%61%
Over 2.544%56%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.180.89
xG against / match1.431.191.241.37
xG difference-0.190.26-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.110.15
xPts / match1.281.551.361.11
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first44%52%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.300.25
Came back from behind22%38%27%23%
Leads held71%69%64%60%
Minutes leading24%31%18%14%
Minutes level50%48%51%51%
Minutes trailing27%21%31%34%
First goal (min)37345054
First goal conceded (min)44474138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.280.22
Late goals against0.350.350.280.43
Style
Possession52%53%50%47%
Shots11.212.712.29.0
On target3.84.73.73.0
Shot conversion10%12%9%12%
Shots inside box65%67%65%63%
Big chances created1.82.11.61.3
Corners6.06.45.65.0
xG from set plays28%34%40%40%
Goals from headers16%15%16%12%
Pressure index13.316.311.78.5
Dominant minutes52.757.349.742.4
Pass accuracy78%79%74%74%
Fouls10.410.610.210.5
Cards2.302.261.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 42%3.3Draw 28% P 26%2.62Away 36% P 31%

Double Chance

1.5Stoke or Draw 32%1.36Stoke or Portsmouth 35%1.44Draw or Portsmouth 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw26%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 137 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.446
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.35
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.44 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-22 40 290 30'8
2026-04-12 20 210 25'9
2026-04-06 20 220 53'5
2026-03-11 20 160 27'6
2026-03-07 60 230 31'9
2026-02-24 40 220 56'6
2026-02-21 40 240 23'5
2026-02-07 · Stoke City 20 170 22'10
2026-01-31 –– 20– –8
2026-01-04 50 271 48'9