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Championship · Matchweek 46
Bristol CityBristol City
2–0
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– Bristol CityStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,671

Teams

Coaches
Roy Hodgson · Mark Robins
Position
13 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.7° (feels 17.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.16–8.92 · xPts 4.63

  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 1.2–1.49 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 2–2 xG 0.8–2.73 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 2–4 xG 1.61–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.2–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.34–1.58 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 5.82–8.75 · xPts 5.43

  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 1.8–1.7 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 0.92–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.71–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.8–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 0.59–3.11 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2007

Bristol City 92 draws7 Stoke City

Goals 23–24 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 51 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 14–17 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 21 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 5–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 4–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.200.96
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1015 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.281.431.110.74
Goals against / match1.281.351.221.22
Clean sheets30%35%28%30%
Failed to score33%30%37%52%
Both teams scored46%39%44%26%
Over 2.546%48%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.241.03
xG against / match1.481.491.431.67
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.201.211.281.01
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first39%44%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.270.08
Came back from behind31%29%22%7%
Leads held77%75%71%75%
Minutes leading30%33%24%16%
Minutes level41%38%50%51%
Minutes trailing29%29%27%32%
First goal (min)32283742
First goal conceded (min)30314440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.150.04
Late goals against0.240.300.350.35
Style
Possession49%52%52%51%
Shots12.212.711.29.8
On target4.14.03.82.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box60%59%65%62%
Big chances created1.92.01.81.4
Corners4.84.76.05.6
xG from set plays24%20%28%19%
Goals from headers21%21%16%19%
Pressure index11.914.513.310.2
Dominant minutes43.948.952.748.2
Pass accuracy78%80%78%78%
Fouls9.58.810.410.2
Cards1.831.652.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-2-2-21 2%3.02.00.00.962.9

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 48%3.7Draw 26% P 25%3.8Away 25% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Bristol City or Draw 37%1.28Bristol City or Stoke 37%1.8Draw or Stoke 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 55%2.2Under 43% P 45%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away27%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.54
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1792
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-22 20 200 45'10
2026-04-03 · Bristol City 50 270 30'8
2026-03-21 30 210 31'3
2026-03-11 40 180 44'–
2026-02-28 50 260 57'7
2026-02-24 50 301 25'15
2026-02-10 10 240 30'10
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10