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Championship · Matchweek 46
Hull CityHull City
2–1
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– Hull CityNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,616

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Philippe Clement
Position
7 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
19.8° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.56–7.63 · xPts 6.69

  • L A Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 1.25–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.83–3.36 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.07–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–2 xG 1.56–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.85–0.67 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 8.52–7.17 · xPts 7.82

  • D H Swansea City 1–1 xG 2.06–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.55–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 4–2 xG 2.1–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.9–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–1 xG 1.92–1.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Hull City 77 draws8 Norwich City

Goals 28–31 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 73% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 32 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 21 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Hull City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 4–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.411.52
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 719 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.441.371.57
Goals against / match1.351.361.221.22
Clean sheets29%28%20%22%
Failed to score18%24%20%13%
Both teams scored61%60%61%65%
Over 2.561%56%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.351.30
xG against / match1.661.421.461.64
xG difference-0.290.04-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.020.27
xPts / match1.251.411.351.23
Points vs xPts0.380.270.060.29
Game state
Scored first57%48%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.680.80
Came back from behind35%36%27%33%
Leads held72%80%68%67%
Minutes leading30%28%28%32%
Minutes level53%54%48%42%
Minutes trailing17%18%24%26%
First goal (min)32304236
First goal conceded (min)40384641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.260.30
Late goals against0.310.240.300.30
Style
Possession45%47%54%52%
Shots11.111.212.611.5
On target4.13.84.54.4
Shot conversion13%13%11%14%
Shots inside box68%68%64%66%
Big chances created2.22.12.32.1
Corners4.44.25.35.0
xG from set plays21%27%25%23%
Goals from headers14%9%10%11%
Pressure index9.311.012.510.8
Dominant minutes39.846.753.247.7
Pass accuracy72%73%79%78%
Fouls11.210.810.210.4
Cards2.552.081.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.75Draw 25% P 24%3.1Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.28Hull or Draw 37%1.25Hull or Norwich 37%1.8Draw or Norwich 26%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 62%2.3Under 41% P 38%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–50% · away 30–40% · 1,184 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%42%42%+0.7
Draw24%27%25%-2.3
Away30%31%33%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.05+0.4563
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.21
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2667
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-21 30 190 5'5
2026-04-18 –– 19– –9
2026-04-14 20 130 5'6
2026-04-06 51 240 17'9
2026-03-21 70 211 12'9
2026-03-14 · Hull City 51 210 36'11
2026-03-08 –– 12– –5
2026-02-22 82 310 16'9
2026-02-15 30 150 45'6
2026-02-07 71 231 13'6