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Championship · Matchweek 46
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
3–0
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– Ipswich TownQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,636

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Julien Stéphan
Position
2 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
19.4° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.48–7.73 · xPts 7.24

  • D A Southampton 2–2 xG 2.02–1.62 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.76–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 2.52–0.27 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.22–2.55 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–2 xG 0.97–1.88 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.79–6.7 · xPts 6.75

  • L H Derby County 2–3 xG 2.75–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.67–2.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.15–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 1.02–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.2–0.53 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Ipswich Town 115 draws10 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 35–30 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 42 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 31 draws1 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Ipswich Town 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–4 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–0 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.261.09
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 116 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.741.871.330.91
Goals against / match1.020.741.591.57
Clean sheets37%44%22%26%
Failed to score13%9%28%39%
Both teams scored56%52%63%52%
Over 2.552%56%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.300.98
xG against / match1.030.841.331.45
xG difference0.801.23-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.02-0.07
xPts / match1.882.161.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first54%70%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.600.60
Came back from behind60%86%26%33%
Leads held79%82%84%100%
Minutes leading33%45%20%10%
Minutes level50%48%46%48%
Minutes trailing17%8%34%42%
First goal (min)40324550
First goal conceded (min)40463423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.390.26
Late goals against0.130.040.260.04
Style
Possession56%56%46%45%
Shots15.116.512.711.1
On target5.15.74.13.2
Shot conversion12%11%10%8%
Shots inside box67%68%63%63%
Big chances created2.83.51.81.2
Corners5.76.24.84.3
xG from set plays32%29%31%34%
Goals from headers12%5%17%20%
Pressure index18.820.711.77.9
Dominant minutes62.366.746.738.9
Pass accuracy81%81%76%76%
Fouls11.210.311.010.8
Cards1.931.391.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 75% P 77%6.5Draw 14% P 14%9.0Away 10% P 8%

Double Chance

1.06Ipswich or Draw 45%1.14Ipswich or QPR 42%3.75Draw or QPR 13%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 65%2.5Under 38% P 35%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 44%1.8Under 51% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home77%76%77%+0.9
Draw14%15%15%-0.5
Away8%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 50 230 70'11
2026-04-07 50 220 37'9
2026-03-21 50 280 32'8
2026-03-14 20 230 13'6
2026-03-10 30 190 33'12
2026-02-28 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 30 110 50'9
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8