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Championship · Matchweek 46
MillwallMillwall
2–0
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– MillwallOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,043

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Matt Bloomfield
Position
3 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
22.4° (feels 21.8°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
42%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.85–6.48 · xPts 8.03

  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 2.1–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.69–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 2–0 xG 1.44–0.15 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 1.44–1.98 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.18–1.92 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.21–6.34 · xPts 7.19

  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 4–1 xG 2.73–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.13–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 2–0 xG 1.58–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Millwall 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Millwall 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Millwall 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.020.78
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 811 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.331.380.980.91
Goals against / match1.061.131.281.39
Clean sheets40%46%17%13%
Failed to score21%21%41%44%
Both teams scored48%38%52%56%
Over 2.546%50%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.170.99
xG against / match1.331.151.431.68
xG difference0.180.49-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.471.631.210.95
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first52%58%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.220.17
Came back from behind43%27%19%13%
Leads held86%87%58%44%
Minutes leading27%34%21%19%
Minutes level56%50%47%47%
Minutes trailing17%16%32%34%
First goal (min)44372829
First goal conceded (min)43443538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.150.13
Late goals against0.350.460.150.26
Style
Possession48%50%40%38%
Shots12.913.511.99.8
On target4.24.63.42.6
Shot conversion10%10%8%9%
Shots inside box68%71%54%53%
Big chances created2.32.41.61.6
Corners5.76.24.03.4
xG from set plays33%36%40%33%
Goals from headers16%19%16%19%
Pressure index11.914.86.43.8
Dominant minutes44.449.733.723.1
Pass accuracy70%72%69%70%
Fouls12.610.910.811.0
Cards1.901.381.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.38Home 68% P 70%5.0Draw 19% P 18%7.0Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Millwall or Draw 43%1.18Millwall or Oxford Utd 40%2.75Draw or Oxford Utd 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%69%72%+3.5
Draw18%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-21 70 260 11'6
2026-04-11 100 331 13'8
2026-04-03 · Millwall 20 180 13'7
2026-03-16 80 270 40'8
2026-03-11 40 180 24'–
2026-02-28 10 300 39'5
2026-02-20 40 180 40'9
2026-02-11 60 110 49'8
2026-02-03 · Oxford United 70 210 17'11
2026-01-23 50 270 5'9