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Championship · Matchweek 46

Momentum

PortsmouthBRC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,478

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Chris Davies
Position
18 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Brooks

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.8° (feels 17.3°)
Wind
4.7
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 5.4–7.85 · xPts 5.51

  • W A Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–5 xG 0.09–2.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 1–0 xG 1.06–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–0 xG 1.88–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.66–1.53 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.89–6.4 · xPts 7.56

  • W H Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.49–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 3.04–2.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 1–1 xG 0.59–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–0 xG 2.24–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.53–1.28 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 15 matches since 2003

Portsmouth 54 draws6 Birmingham City

Goals 19–22 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 41 draws5 Birmingham City

Goals 14–17 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 11 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 4–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 4–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 1–2 Birmingham City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–0 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · Quarter-finals
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 4–2 Birmingham City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–2 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 5–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.390.87
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 917 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.071.091.240.78
Goals against / match1.391.001.221.48
Clean sheets22%26%22%13%
Failed to score28%30%24%39%
Both teams scored54%48%56%48%
Over 2.544%39%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.491.07
xG against / match1.241.121.141.27
xG difference-0.060.340.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.361.601.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first46%48%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.410.44
Came back from behind27%31%33%32%
Leads held64%67%71%83%
Minutes leading18%23%28%11%
Minutes level51%51%42%38%
Minutes trailing31%27%31%51%
First goal (min)50453952
First goal conceded (min)41453527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.240.30
Late goals against0.280.130.150.13
Style
Possession50%54%54%52%
Shots12.215.413.69.9
On target3.74.44.12.6
Shot conversion9%7%9%8%
Shots inside box65%67%64%67%
Big chances created1.61.82.41.8
Corners5.66.35.85.0
xG from set plays40%41%30%33%
Goals from headers16%20%21%17%
Pressure index11.714.814.410.4
Dominant minutes49.757.054.344.6
Pass accuracy74%74%77%77%
Fouls10.29.811.712.3
Cards1.931.742.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.5Portsmouth or Draw 32%1.28Portsmouth or Birmingham 37%1.5Draw or Birmingham 32%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 52%2.1Under 45% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw26%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

John Brooks

Career
221 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.554.05+0.9084
Fouls / match23.621.8+1.53
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.17+3.22100
Time added6.07.2-1.414
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 101 191 66'9
2026-02-12 50 230 4'6
2026-02-01 30 151 20'12
2026-01-22 30 240 18'6
2026-01-17 50 171 36'10
2026-01-10 70 361 45'7
2026-01-04 40 170 33'10
2025-12-27 50 200 45'6
2025-12-20 82 160 33'12
2025-12-14 17 8