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Championship · Matchweek 46
Preston North EndPNE
1–3
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– PNESouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,085

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Tonda Eckert
Position
12 · 5
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.5° (feels 15.9°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 8.65–10.02 · xPts 6.14

  • W A Sheffield United 3–2 xG 2.01–2.98 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 2.74–3.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–2 xG 1.71–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 1.64–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.53–1.2 UK CHAMP

Southampton

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 8.4–6.55 · xPts 8.0

  • D H Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 1.62–2.02 UK CHAMP
  • L A Manchester City 1–2 xG 0.23–2.03 UK FA Cup
  • D H Bristol City 2–2 xG 2.73–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 2–1 xG 1.59–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 2.23–0.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2005

Preston North End 44 draws4 Southampton

Goals 19–18 · 3.08 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 42 draws4 Southampton

Goals 18–17 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 11 draws3 Southampton

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 1–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 5–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.301.351.751.54
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 823 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.201.221.751.83
Goals against / match1.351.301.191.54
Clean sheets20%22%25%8%
Failed to score26%26%12%8%
Both teams scored59%56%71%88%
Over 2.548%48%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.711.64
xG against / match1.631.421.331.57
xG difference-0.45-0.200.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.040.20
xPts / match1.131.251.591.41
Points vs xPts0.170.100.160.13
Game state
Scored first41%39%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.680.691.261.20
Came back from behind38%43%54%46%
Leads held62%73%72%62%
Minutes leading28%27%34%31%
Minutes level45%46%49%49%
Minutes trailing27%27%18%20%
First goal (min)36404040
First goal conceded (min)42434446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.380.50
Late goals against0.300.350.270.38
Style
Possession46%48%56%54%
Shots10.911.314.413.1
On target3.63.45.35.1
Shot conversion11%11%12%14%
Shots inside box68%69%68%71%
Big chances created1.61.72.92.8
Corners4.55.35.85.0
xG from set plays34%35%28%32%
Goals from headers22%21%22%19%
Pressure index8.89.517.914.7
Dominant minutes40.542.359.054.2
Pass accuracy72%73%83%82%
Fouls10.410.110.711.5
Cards2.092.131.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 26%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.9Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9Preston or Draw 25%1.22Preston or Southampton 39%1.28Draw or Southampton 37%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 41%1.72Under 54% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%20%-5.5
Draw24%23%24%+1.0
Away50%51%56%+4.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.04
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9214
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 80 250 29'8
2026-04-11 30 190 57'7
2026-04-03 80 280 5'8
2026-03-21 40 251 30'5
2026-03-14 60 190 35'8
2026-03-10 70 201 7'6
2026-02-21 30 210 17'7
2026-02-14 50 260 36'15
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 · Preston North End 51 250 45'10