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Championship · Matchweek 46

Momentum

Swansea CityCHA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,245

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Nathan Jones
Position
11 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.7°)
Wind
3.3
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

DWLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.97–10.12 · xPts 5.63

  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.38–2.06 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 2.31–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.39–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 1–0 xG 0.61–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.28–3.13 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 6.67–7.89 · xPts 6.24

  • W H Hull City 2–1 xG 0.56–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.27–2.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.73–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.8–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 2.3–1.58 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 6 matches since 2008

Swansea City 32 draws1 Charlton Athletic

Goals 8–6 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Swansea City 32 draws1 Charlton Athletic

Goals 8–6 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 32 draws0 Charlton Athletic

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Swansea City 3–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.150.96
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 613 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.480.960.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.261.39
Clean sheets26%30%28%22%
Failed to score22%9%22%26%
Both teams scored54%61%54%56%
Over 2.550%52%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.151.03
xG against / match1.371.371.551.76
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.281.361.191.00
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first48%61%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.270.38
Came back from behind28%40%24%36%
Leads held72%69%59%44%
Minutes leading25%28%16%14%
Minutes level48%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing27%23%28%26%
First goal (min)46495661
First goal conceded (min)40374350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.260.22
Late goals against0.300.300.330.61
Style
Possession55%56%42%40%
Shots12.313.611.09.2
On target3.93.83.53.0
Shot conversion10%11%9%10%
Shots inside box58%60%68%68%
Big chances created1.71.71.91.7
Corners4.55.14.13.2
xG from set plays36%36%39%44%
Goals from headers13%16%19%20%
Pressure index12.815.27.04.7
Dominant minutes51.958.034.427.4
Pass accuracy79%80%70%69%
Fouls9.89.112.012.7
Cards2.001.912.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 52% P 53%3.6Draw 25% P 25%3.9Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.25Swansea or Draw 38%1.28Swansea or Charlton 37%1.9Draw or Charlton 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 · Charlton Athletic 40 120 34'4
2026-02-21 · Swansea City 60 250 44'8
2026-01-20 30 240 55'11
2026-01-17 10 160 79'9
2026-01-11 70 330 31'12
2026-01-01 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9
2025-05-03 51 221 10'5