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Championship · Matchweek 46

Momentum

WatfordCVC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,174

Teams

Coaches
Edward Still · Frank Lampard
Position
16 · 1
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.5° (feels 20.9°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
46%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 13 · xG 6.2–9.06 · xPts 5.28

  • L A Middlesbrough 1–5 xG 1.13–2.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 0–3 xG 0.79–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–2 xG 1.34–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–2 xG 1.35–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.58–2.3 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 9.32–4.18 · xPts 9.81

  • W H Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.69–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 5–1 xG 2.47–0.09 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.4–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 3.08–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 xG 0.67–0.85 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Watford 77 draws8 Coventry City

Goals 35–34 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 73%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 14 draws5 Coventry City

Goals 12–20 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 01 draws4 Coventry City

Goals 4–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Watford 0–4 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 3–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 3–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 3–2 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.241.612.071.74
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 628 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.151.302.112.00
Goals against / match1.411.170.981.13
Clean sheets15%22%37%39%
Failed to score30%30%15%13%
Both teams scored59%52%59%56%
Over 2.548%44%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.502.041.73
xG against / match1.251.151.141.19
xG difference0.100.340.900.54
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.190.070.27
xPts / match1.431.571.831.64
Points vs xPts-0.200.040.230.10
Game state
Scored first26%30%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.332.712.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.841.131.551.00
Came back from behind47%60%53%38%
Leads held67%91%80%61%
Minutes leading18%25%38%38%
Minutes level49%48%50%51%
Minutes trailing34%27%12%11%
First goal (min)48423332
First goal conceded (min)34364548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.480.39
Late goals against0.280.220.170.17
Style
Possession51%52%55%52%
Shots13.815.716.314.7
On target4.45.45.65.3
Shot conversion8%8%13%14%
Shots inside box58%57%72%71%
Big chances created2.12.42.82.4
Corners4.95.45.34.7
xG from set plays27%23%36%38%
Goals from headers14%17%20%26%
Pressure index10.912.417.012.7
Dominant minutes47.052.258.852.4
Pass accuracy80%81%80%79%
Fouls11.011.19.69.8
Cards2.151.871.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43
4-1-4-11 2%0.02.03.01.310.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 33%3.7Draw 25% P 26%2.37Away 40% P 41%

Double Chance

1.8Watford or Draw 26%1.22Watford or Coventry 39%1.33Draw or Coventry 35%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 57%2.5Under 38% P 43%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.7
Away41%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 20 200 54'10
2026-04-03 · Watford 100 350 23'9
2026-03-07 81 190 23'9
2026-02-25 15 9
2026-02-17 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 · Coventry City 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 · Watford 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8
2025-12-29 21 6
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12