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Championship · Matchweek 46

Momentum

WrexhamMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
46

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,716

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Kim Hellberg
Position
6 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
17.4° (feels 16.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.16–8.08 · xPts 5.31

  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 1.02–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 1–0 xG 1.57–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.58–0.71 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–2 xG 0.11–2.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–5 xG 0.89–2.31 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 11.35–6.98 · xPts 9.67

  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.51–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.63–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 2.55–2.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.53–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 3.13–2.28 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 02 draws0 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 02 draws0 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 02 draws0 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.541.611.651.52
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 622 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.501.781.491.56
Goals against / match1.411.611.021.28
Clean sheets26%22%29%16%
Failed to score13%4%26%24%
Both teams scored65%74%55%64%
Over 2.550%56%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.591.55
xG against / match1.481.281.051.15
xG difference-0.260.260.530.40
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.100.01
xPts / match1.221.541.701.60
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%56%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.670.64
Came back from behind46%50%46%50%
Leads held63%62%79%71%
Minutes leading31%30%32%31%
Minutes level46%43%49%47%
Minutes trailing23%26%19%22%
First goal (min)37383736
First goal conceded (min)40374645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.220.28
Late goals against0.410.350.290.28
Style
Possession48%51%59%58%
Shots11.314.116.215.3
On target3.84.84.84.5
Shot conversion13%13%9%10%
Shots inside box66%68%64%65%
Big chances created2.32.82.42.5
Corners4.55.26.85.8
xG from set plays32%36%24%18%
Goals from headers29%38%12%10%
Pressure index10.113.119.718.4
Dominant minutes41.951.363.163.2
Pass accuracy78%80%84%84%
Fouls9.78.89.39.5
Cards1.591.261.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 32%3.6Draw 26% P 24%2.37Away 40% P 44%

Double Chance

1.53Wrexham or Draw 31%1.28Wrexham or Middlesbrough 37%1.44Draw or Middlesbrough 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 58%2.1Under 45% P 42%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 54%1.9Under 49% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.1
Draw24%26%26%+0.2
Away44%43%43%-0.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 40 100 18'8
2026-04-03 10 201 12'5
2026-03-21 · Middlesbrough 20 150 24'5
2026-03-07 30 180 33'6
2026-02-24 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 · Middlesbrough 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 · Wrexham 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8