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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 34
ParisParis
2–1
FT
Paris Saint GermainPSG

Momentum

– ParisPSG –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
19,237

Teams

Coaches
Antoine Kombouare · Luis Enrique
Position
11 · 1
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 8.24–6.71 · xPts 7.95

  • L A Rennes 1–2 xG 1.34–1.25 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 4–0 xG 1.69–0.68 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 1.36–1.7 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–1 xG 1.41–0.94 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.44–2.15 FRA L1

Paris Saint Germain

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 9.58–8.2 · xPts 7.89

  • W A Lens 2–0 xG 1.11–2.9 FRA L1
  • W H Brest 1–0 xG 1.95–0.27 FRA L1
  • D A FC Bayern München 1–1 xG 1.37–1.8 UEFA CL
  • D H Lorient 2–2 xG 3.13–0.83 FRA L1
  • W H FC Bayern München 5–4 xG 2.02–2.41 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Paris 10 draws1 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 10 draws1 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 10 draws1 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris 2–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Paris Saint Germain all · 34Paris Saint Germain away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.472.242.06
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 624 / 4 / 611 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.381.652.181.94
Goals against / match1.471.590.851.00
Clean sheets24%24%53%41%
Failed to score26%29%6%12%
Both teams scored62%53%41%47%
Over 2.556%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.991.74
xG against / match1.621.600.981.16
xG difference-0.30-0.071.010.58
Finishing vs xG0.060.120.180.20
xPts / match1.251.391.991.74
Points vs xPts0.040.080.250.32
Game state
Scored first41%35%85%82%
PPG when scoring first2.142.672.622.50
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.000.00
Came back from behind33%40%14%0%
Leads held69%88%83%79%
Minutes leading23%25%44%37%
Minutes level49%40%45%52%
Minutes trailing28%34%11%11%
First goal (min)41413841
First goal conceded (min)40323846
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%55%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%55%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.530.47
Late goals against0.380.350.240.41
Style
Possession50%52%69%68%
Shots11.713.517.715.2
On target4.04.56.76.4
Shot conversion12%12%12%13%
Shots inside box67%69%63%66%
Big chances created2.42.83.73.8
Corners4.45.56.45.2
xG from set plays26%30%29%26%
Goals from headers4%7%15%18%
Pressure index10.512.727.424.6
Dominant minutes46.054.573.068.8
Pass accuracy84%84%91%91%
Fouls10.610.89.18.6
Cards2.352.821.181.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'113
16–30'76
31–45'154
46–60'115
61–75'123
76–90'188

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-5-12 6%0.50.01.51.052.0

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-333 97%2.32.240.852.030.97
3-5-21 3%0.00.01.00.661.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.0Home 16% P 15%5.0Draw 19% P 19%1.45Away 65% P 66%

Double Chance

2.62Paris FC or Draw 18%1.16Paris FC or PSG 40%1.12Draw or PSG 42%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 68% P 70%3.0Under 32% P 30%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

1.51.53Over 61% P 67%2.37Under 39% P 33%
2.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–20% · away 60–70% · 1,586 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%14%14%-0.1
Draw19%21%20%-1.0
Away66%65%66%+1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5620
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.50 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6796
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-03 50 240 5'8
2026-04-19 41 300 41'12
2026-03-21 50 190 5'9
2026-02-28 30 190 45'7
2026-02-06 20 210 7'10
2026-01-25 50 320 15'9
2026-01-04 30 170 45'8
2025-11-30 20 180 48'8
2025-11-07 · Paris 60 220 57'5
2025-10-25 70 330 18'17