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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 34
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5–4
FT
MonacoMonaco

Momentum

– StrasbourgMonaco –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,321

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Sebastien Pocognoli
Position
8 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.0° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.91–8.55 · xPts 5.11

  • W A Brest 2–1 xG 1.82–3.08 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.89–0.82 FRA L1
  • L H Rayo Vallecano 0–1 xG 1.46–2.1 UEFA ECL
  • L H Toulouse 1–2 xG 0.45–1.29 FRA L1
  • L A Rayo Vallecano 0–1 xG 0.28–1.26 UEFA ECL

Monaco

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.02–6.91 · xPts 6.92

  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 0.47–0.47 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 2–1 xG 1.34–1.22 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.89–2.05 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.18–0.74 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 1–4 xG 2.15–2.44 FRA L1

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 65 draws12 Monaco

Goals 33–44 · 3.35 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 22 draws6 Monaco

Goals 14–21 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 12 draws2 Monaco

Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 5–4 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 0–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 3–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 4–3 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Monaco all · 34Monaco away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.561.761.591.29
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 516 / 6 / 126 / 4 / 7
Goals for / match1.711.761.761.59
Goals against / match1.381.121.591.82
Clean sheets26%41%21%12%
Failed to score18%18%21%29%
Both teams scored65%53%65%71%
Over 2.565%65%65%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.631.50
xG against / match1.331.051.431.65
xG difference0.130.450.20-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.240.260.140.09
xPts / match1.441.631.491.30
Points vs xPts0.120.130.10-0.01
Game state
Scored first56%71%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.531.83
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.821.00
Came back from behind31%17%33%30%
Leads held65%69%84%67%
Minutes leading26%31%28%22%
Minutes level52%59%51%54%
Minutes trailing22%10%21%25%
First goal (min)41384347
First goal conceded (min)39464747
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%63%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.350.29
Late goals against0.350.350.410.53
Style
Possession54%52%54%53%
Shots11.512.112.512.9
On target4.65.14.44.4
Shot conversion15%15%14%12%
Shots inside box69%70%73%73%
Big chances created3.03.33.02.8
Corners4.24.95.15.2
xG from set plays23%21%25%24%
Goals from headers16%10%12%11%
Pressure index14.216.312.311.3
Dominant minutes54.756.650.047.4
Pass accuracy88%88%83%83%
Fouls11.19.613.013.2
Cards1.941.472.442.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57
4-4-21 3%3.03.02.01.961.72

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
4-4-22 6%3.03.51.52.121.25
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%4.2Draw 23% P 22%1.95Away 49% P 49%

Double Chance

1.7Strasbourg or Draw 27%1.22Strasbourg or Monaco 38%1.36Draw or Monaco 34%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.36Yes 69%3.0No 31%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 72%3.4Under 28% P 28%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 45–50% · 1,022 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%27%27%+0.5
Draw22%26%27%+0.4
Away49%47%46%-1.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-13 10 120 45'7
2026-05-10 60 422 41'9
2026-04-26 50 301 38'12
2026-04-12 50 310 45'9
2026-04-09 40 301 17'10
2026-03-22 40 140 1'13
2026-03-18 –– 12– –8
2026-03-08 40 320 21'7
2026-02-26 41 240 28'8
2026-02-13 –– 19– –7