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Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

B04BMG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
BayArena, Leverkusen
Capacity
30,210
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,210

Teams

Coaches
Kasper Hjulmand · Eugen Polanski
Position
11 · 17
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
14.8° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
4.3
Humidity
86%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

LDWD 1W 2D 1L · 5 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 6.14–4.69 · xPts 6.46

  • D A FC København 2–2 xG 1.13–1.48 UEFA CL
  • W H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 xG 2.13–0.89 GER BI
  • D A Werder Bremen 3–3 xG 1.89–1.71 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 1–2 xG 1.0–0.62 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 0 GA 5 · xG 4.52–3.28 · xPts 5.08

  • L H Werder Bremen 0–4 xG 1.36–1.88 GER BI
  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–1 xG 1.85–0.89 GER BI
  • D H Hamburger SV 0–0 xG 1.31–0.5 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2110 draws9 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 84–54 · 3.45 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 64 draws0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 22–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 23 draws0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 17Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.821.120.82
W / D / L17 / 8 / 99 / 4 / 49 / 11 / 143 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match2.002.241.241.06
Goals against / match1.381.121.561.71
Clean sheets24%35%38%29%
Failed to score12%0%35%35%
Both teams scored65%65%41%47%
Over 2.559%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.912.421.351.31
xG against / match1.401.101.511.59
xG difference0.511.33-0.16-0.28
Finishing vs xG0.09-0.19-0.12-0.25
xPts / match1.652.101.271.21
Points vs xPts0.08-0.27-0.15-0.38
Game state
Scored first65%71%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.232.172.292.20
PPG when conceding first0.831.000.070.10
Came back from behind40%43%18%18%
Leads held68%69%64%60%
Minutes leading40%42%19%14%
Minutes level39%42%52%52%
Minutes trailing20%16%28%35%
First goal (min)34384858
First goal conceded (min)39484040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%50%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%47%45%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.380.35
Late goals against0.260.180.350.47
Style
Possession59%61%47%48%
Shots15.218.611.611.7
On target5.26.54.13.8
Shot conversion13%12%11%9%
Shots inside box64%66%66%68%
Big chances created3.74.31.91.6
Corners5.66.73.84.2
xG from set plays27%28%34%29%
Goals from headers19%24%20%12%
Pressure index16.120.59.99.3
Dominant minutes57.164.841.940.9
Pass accuracy88%88%82%81%
Fouls8.68.610.811.0
Cards2.182.121.851.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'68
16–30'59
31–45'612
46–60'32
61–75'910
76–90'1312

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 38%1.461.851.621.461.33
5-4-14 12%1.00.752.251.222.09
4-2-3-14 12%1.01.01.751.231.43
4-4-23 9%0.670.331.00.741.35
3-5-22 6%0.51.01.50.961.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 64% P 63%4.5Draw 21% P 21%6.25Away 15% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 42% P 42%1.18Bayer Leverkusen or Borussia M'gladbach 40% P 39%2.5Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 19% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.181 79%4.52 21%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 339 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%63%64%+0.8
Draw21%21%19%-2.1
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.15+0.0052
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.33-0.2130
Time added6.96.8-0.0244
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-18 11 70 21'6
2025-09-13 51 140 21'13
2025-08-27 21 100 3'4
2025-08-23 90 321 37'18
2025-05-21 70 320 35'10
2025-05-17 14 4
2025-05-07 60 221 18'7
2025-05-03 40 150 50'9
2025-04-19 50 230 51'10
2025-04-10 60 302 35'6