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Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

SGEFCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,500

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Steffen Baumgart
Position
6 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
19.1° (feels 19.4°)
Wind
4.9
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

WWLW 3W 0D 1L · 9 pts (2.25 ppg) · GF 13 GA 6 · xG 5.5–5.15 · xPts 5.69

  • W H Galatasaray 5–1 xG 1.27–1.01 UEFA CL
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 0.89–2.13 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 xG 0.98–1.32 GER BI
  • W H Werder Bremen 4–1 xG 2.36–0.69 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.6–6.78 · xPts 2.71

  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 3.32–2.9 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 0.7–1.95 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 0.58–1.94 GER BI

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

Eintracht Frankfurt 55 draws5 FC Union Berlin

Goals 27–24 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 24 draws4 FC Union Berlin

Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 03 draws2 FC Union Berlin

Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.151.00
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 610 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.791.711.291.06
Goals against / match1.911.591.711.88
Clean sheets21%35%21%18%
Failed to score9%6%24%29%
Both teams scored74%59%62%53%
Over 2.568%65%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.481.371.17
xG against / match1.501.241.481.79
xG difference-0.150.24-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.450.23-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.311.561.371.09
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.08-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first50%59%41%35%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.630.430.330.18
Came back from behind43%33%29%17%
Leads held55%64%71%83%
Minutes leading25%22%18%10%
Minutes level46%49%50%54%
Minutes trailing29%29%31%36%
First goal (min)41495363
First goal conceded (min)35344343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.500.47
Late goals against0.560.290.410.35
Style
Possession55%54%40%39%
Shots12.013.212.511.7
On target4.65.33.93.5
Shot conversion15%13%10%9%
Shots inside box67%68%73%74%
Big chances created2.52.72.21.9
Corners4.75.45.04.8
xG from set plays28%32%48%46%
Goals from headers12%10%21%18%
Pressure index12.813.49.18.5
Dominant minutes48.552.434.732.1
Pass accuracy83%84%72%72%
Fouls10.410.112.312.5
Cards2.062.122.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Union Berlin · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.073
Early press (0-15, level)-0.563
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.513
When behind+0.023
10 min after conceding-0.403
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
4+ days rest-0.073

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.052

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.173
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.53

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
4-2-2-21 3%3.01.00.00.641.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 58% P 59%4.2Draw 22% P 23%4.75Away 20% P 18%

Double Chance

1.18Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 40% P 41%1.22Eintracht Frankfurt or Union Berlin 39% P 39%2.25Draw or Union Berlin 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%60%+1.3
Draw23%23%24%+1.3
Away18%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Sven Jablonski

Career
115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.784.14-0.9615
Fouls / match20.622.3-1.67
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.32-1.0818
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 10 230 7'7
2025-08-30 30 180 24'11
2025-05-10 20 110 49'4
2025-04-26 41 150 8'6
2025-04-12 61 290 23'4
2025-03-28 10 190 87'6
2025-03-08 30 170 50'3
2025-02-15 · FC Union Berlin 10 171 78'12
2025-01-24 60 190 23'5
2025-01-14 · Eintracht Frankfurt 20 190 28'4