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Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Momentum

SVWSC Freiburg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen
Capacity
42,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
40,500

Teams

Coaches
Horst Steffen · Julian Schuster
Position
10 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Timo Gerach

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
27.4° (feels 27.0°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
38%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Werder Bremen

LDW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 4.28–5.61 · xPts 3.44

  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 xG 1.88–1.36 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.71–1.89 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 xG 0.69–2.36 GER BI

SC Freiburg

LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.24–4.31 · xPts 4.79

  • W H VfB Stuttgart 3–1 xG 1.77–0.72 GER BI
  • L A FC Köln 1–4 xG 1.16–2.05 GER BI
  • L H FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 2.32–1.54 GER BI

All meetings · 31 matches since 2009

Werder Bremen 118 draws12 SC Freiburg

Goals 47–46 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Werder Bremen 11 draws8 SC Freiburg

Goals 5–20 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Werder Bremen 00 draws5 SC Freiburg

Goals 1–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 0–3 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 5–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 3–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Werder Bremen 1–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 2–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 0–0 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricWerder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen at home · 17SC Freiburg all · 34SC Freiburg away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.121.380.88
W / D / L8 / 8 / 185 / 4 / 813 / 8 / 134 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.121.501.06
Goals against / match1.761.821.682.06
Clean sheets18%18%18%24%
Failed to score38%35%26%47%
Both teams scored47%47%62%41%
Over 2.553%53%65%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.211.421.511.14
xG against / match1.581.351.521.74
xG difference-0.370.07-0.01-0.59
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.30-0.01-0.08
xPts / match1.211.471.361.01
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.350.02-0.12
Game state
Scored first29%29%44%29%
PPG when scoring first2.102.602.001.80
PPG when conceding first0.430.500.880.40
Came back from behind25%33%44%23%
Leads held62%71%68%67%
Minutes leading16%17%22%12%
Minutes level41%38%54%59%
Minutes trailing43%46%23%29%
First goal (min)52543840
First goal conceded (min)35334238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%74%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%52%61%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.350.24
Late goals against0.320.290.380.47
Style
Possession51%54%48%45%
Shots13.115.412.310.3
On target4.14.74.23.3
Shot conversion8%7%12%10%
Shots inside box62%63%69%68%
Big chances created1.71.92.31.7
Corners4.64.94.13.7
xG from set plays24%23%42%43%
Goals from headers19%32%14%24%
Pressure index12.617.014.310.3
Dominant minutes47.860.451.043.8
Pass accuracy82%82%80%80%
Fouls9.910.39.49.8
Cards2.472.591.621.59

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

SC Freiburg

0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +2.14

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-131 91%1.321.391.611.451.52
4-4-22 6%1.52.03.51.392.28
4-4-1-11 3%3.04.00.03.720.09

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 40%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.75Away 34% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4Werder Bremen or Draw 33% P 33%1.28Werder Bremen or SC Freiburg 36% P 36%1.53Draw or SC Freiburg 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 57%2.1Under 45% P 43%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away33%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Timo Gerach

Career
30 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.43 (4.13 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 29 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.14+0.6774
Fouls / match20.922.3-1.39
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.32+1.7596
Time added7.26.8+0.3067
First card
36' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-30 50 240 45'9
2025-05-11 21 160 12'9
2025-04-13 20 130 30'2
2025-03-15 · Werder Bremen 31 172 6'9
2025-02-22 50 230 7'6
2025-01-15 20 181 61'7
2024-12-08 70 250 21'7
2024-11-09 40 170 64'4
2024-10-20 30 190 66'8
2024-09-28 · SC Freiburg 60 251 35'