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Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

Momentum

FCBSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Horst Steffen
Position
1 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Frank Willenborg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 458

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  • Zimbabwe New World Sport1 · New World Sport2 · New World Sport4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 21 GA 4 · xG 12.1–3.91 · xPts 11.79

  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 xG 2.68–0.82 GER BI
  • W H Chelsea 3–1 xG 2.1–0.82 UEFA CL
  • W H Hamburger SV 5–0 xG 2.73–0.77 GER BI
  • W A FC Augsburg 3–2 xG 2.65–0.78 GER BI
  • W H RB Leipzig 6–0 xG 1.95–0.72 GER BI

Werder Bremen

LDWL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 5.8–7.39 · xPts 4.66

  • L H SC Freiburg 0–3 xG 1.52–1.79 GER BI
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 xG 1.88–1.36 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.71–1.89 GER BI
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 xG 0.69–2.36 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

FC Bayern München 306 draws4 Werder Bremen

Goals 116–33 · 3.72 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Bayern München 81 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 31–5 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 40 draws1 Werder Bremen

Goals 15–1 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Werder Bremen 0–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 3–0 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–5 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 0–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 6–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 1–1 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.622.590.940.76
W / D / L28 / 5 / 114 / 2 / 18 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match3.594.001.091.06
Goals against / match1.061.121.761.71
Clean sheets35%29%18%18%
Failed to score0%0%38%41%
Both teams scored65%71%47%47%
Over 2.594%100%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.702.941.211.01
xG against / match1.220.991.581.82
xG difference1.481.94-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG0.891.06-0.120.05
xPts / match2.152.351.210.95
Points vs xPts0.470.24-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first65%76%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.772.622.101.60
PPG when conceding first2.332.500.430.36
Came back from behind93%83%25%17%
Leads held90%88%62%50%
Minutes leading50%59%16%16%
Minutes level36%31%41%44%
Minutes trailing14%10%43%40%
First goal (min)32255250
First goal conceded (min)38413536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%47%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%47%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)1.030.820.410.24
Late goals against0.320.410.320.35
Style
Possession67%68%51%48%
Shots19.221.513.110.8
On target8.58.94.13.6
Shot conversion19%19%8%10%
Shots inside box68%66%62%61%
Big chances created4.95.51.71.5
Corners6.47.64.64.2
xG from set plays23%24%24%24%
Goals from headers11%9%19%6%
Pressure index27.530.112.68.1
Dominant minutes74.279.847.835.1
Pass accuracy90%91%82%81%
Fouls8.88.59.99.5
Cards1.791.352.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.462
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.09Home 87% P 88%11.0Draw 9% P 8%21.0Away 5% P 4%

Double Chance

1.01Bayern Munich or Draw 48% P 48%1.05Bayern Munich or Werder Bremen 46% P 46%8.0Draw or Werder Bremen 6% P 6%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.2Over 79%4.5Under 21%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home88%89%90%+1.8
Draw8%8%8%-0.3
Away4%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Frank Willenborg

Career
111 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.28 (4.1 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.984.14+1.6993
Fouls / match22.622.3+0.12
Fouls per card4.65.4-1.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.32+0.8889
Time added6.36.8-0.6426
First card
34' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-30 70 200 17'6
2025-05-03 14 6
2025-04-19 · FC Bayern München 40 190 35'3
2025-04-05 70 200 33'3
2025-03-09 30 181 58'6
2025-02-16 · Werder Bremen 50 260 38'7
2025-02-01 50 200 14'5
2025-01-15 30 240 20'5
2024-12-14 · FC Bayern München 50 330 49'7
2024-11-23 30 260 75'5