Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.2 #2 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 15.2 #4 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.6 #4 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 8.6 #17 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.1 #17 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 110.8 #2 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 53.1 #4 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 605.4 #2 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #6 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #7 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.9 #3 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #12 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 #4 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 #15 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #11 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 7.6 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.8 #5 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.8 #4 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 5.4 #2 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Absences
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- suspension Alejo Sarco attacker · Called Up To National Team · 4 missed · until 2025-10-22
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,546
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Kasper Hjulmand
- Position
- 5 · 11
- Formation
- 3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Martin Petersen
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 18.1° (feels 17.2°)
- Wind
- 4.9
- Humidity
- 47%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 | RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 | FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 | FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
DWWL 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.05–4.62 · xPts 6.64
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–2
xG 0.94–2.09
GER BI - W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.1–0.68
GER BI - W
A
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.25–0.29
GER BI - D
H
Borussia Dortmund
3–3
xG 1.77–1.56
GER BI
DWWL 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.05–4.62 · xPts 6.64
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–2
xG 0.94–2.09
GER BI - W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.1–0.68
GER BI - W
A
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.25–0.29
GER BI - D
H
Borussia Dortmund
3–3
xG 1.77–1.56
GER BI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.52–5.58 · xPts 8.18
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 1.38–0.89
GER BI - D
A
FC København
2–2
xG 1.13–1.48
UEFA CL - W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 2.13–0.89
GER BI - D
A
Werder Bremen
3–3
xG 1.89–1.71
GER BI - L
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.0–0.62
GER BI
LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.52–5.58 · xPts 8.18
- D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
xG 1.38–0.89
GER BI - D
A
FC København
2–2
xG 1.13–1.48
UEFA CL - W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
xG 2.13–0.89
GER BI - D
A
Werder Bremen
3–3
xG 1.89–1.71
GER BI - L
H
TSG Hoffenheim
1–2
xG 1.0–0.62
GER BI
All meetings · 6 matches since 2010
Goals 4–12 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 4–12 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- D St. Pauli 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 17 / 8 / 9 | 8 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.38 | 1.65 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 24% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 12% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 59% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.91 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.40 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | 0.51 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.65 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 65% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 2.23 | 2.30 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 40% | 38% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 68% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 40% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 39% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 34 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 39 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 41% | 30% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 45% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 59% | 57% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 15.2 | 11.7 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 64% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 19% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 11.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 57.1 | 49.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 2.18 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 91% | 1.84 | 2.0 | 1.23 | 1.97 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 2.43 | 1.48 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 1.53 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | 0.90 | -0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | -0.43 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 1.81 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | -0.11 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 62% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 40% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 40% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 20% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 31 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 42 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 50% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 62% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 19.9 | 14.6 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 71% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 27% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 16% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 18.3 | 13.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 60.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 88% | 86% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 2.45 | 0.79 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen all · 47 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 47 | 24 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 22 / 13 / 12 | 11 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.85 | 1.58 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 32% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 15% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 51% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.81 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.37 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | 0.44 | -0.20 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.61 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 62% | 54% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 43% | 38% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 69% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 36% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 40% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 24% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 38 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 38 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 46% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 58% | 58% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 14.9 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 65% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 24% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 20% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 16.5 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 54.9 | 48.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.49
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.06 · Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.25
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 85% | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 11% | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.28 | 0.95 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.58 | 1.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 31% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 24% | -4.2 |
| Away | 41% | 41% | 46% | +4.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Martin Petersen
- Career
- 91 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.23 (4.05 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.25
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 53 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.55 | 4.14 | +0.74 | 78 |
| Fouls / match | 23.8 | 22.3 | +1.24 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.34 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.10 | 37 |
| Time added | 7.8 | 6.8 | +0.93 | 89 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 72' | 12 |
| 2025-04-12 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 30' | 2 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 6' | 10 |
| 2025-01-31 | 11 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 10' | 12 |
| 2025-01-14 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 42' | 10 |
| 2024-11-30 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 26' | 22 |
| 2024-11-10 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 1' | 4 |
| 2024-10-25 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 40' | 8 |

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