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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

B04FCU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
BayArena, Leverkusen
Capacity
30,210
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,210

Teams

Coaches
Kasper Hjulmand · Steffen Baumgart
Position
7 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Christian Dingert

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.5°)
Wind
8.1
Humidity
83%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WDDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 6.94–4.79 · xPts 8.29

  • D H PSV 1–1 xG 1.41–0.71 UEFA CL
  • W A St. Pauli 2–1 xG 0.89–0.83 GER BI
  • D H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 xG 1.38–0.89 GER BI
  • D A FC København 2–2 xG 1.13–1.48 UEFA CL
  • W H Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 xG 2.13–0.89 GER BI

FC Union Berlin

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 7.51–10.38 · xPts 5.09

  • D H Hamburger SV 0–0 xG 1.52–1.36 GER BI
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 4–3 xG 1.4–2.24 GER BI
  • L H TSG Hoffenheim 2–4 xG 3.32–2.9 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–3 xG 0.7–1.95 GER BI
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 0.58–1.94 GER BI

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 85 draws2 FC Union Berlin

Goals 27–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 63 draws1 FC Union Berlin

Goals 20–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 31 draws1 FC Union Berlin

Goals 8–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Union Berlin 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Union Berlin 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–0 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 FC Union Berlin GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen all · 34Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 17FC Union Berlin all · 34FC Union Berlin away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.821.151.00
W / D / L17 / 8 / 99 / 4 / 410 / 9 / 155 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match2.002.241.291.06
Goals against / match1.381.121.711.88
Clean sheets24%35%21%18%
Failed to score12%0%24%29%
Both teams scored65%65%62%53%
Over 2.559%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.912.421.371.17
xG against / match1.401.101.481.79
xG difference0.511.33-0.11-0.62
Finishing vs xG0.09-0.19-0.07-0.11
xPts / match1.652.101.371.09
Points vs xPts0.08-0.27-0.22-0.09
Game state
Scored first65%71%41%35%
PPG when scoring first2.232.172.212.50
PPG when conceding first0.831.000.330.18
Came back from behind40%43%29%17%
Leads held68%69%71%83%
Minutes leading40%42%18%10%
Minutes level39%42%50%54%
Minutes trailing20%16%31%36%
First goal (min)34385363
First goal conceded (min)39484343
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%50%66%72%
Goals conceded in 2nd half45%47%53%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.500.47
Late goals against0.260.180.410.35
Style
Possession59%61%40%39%
Shots15.218.612.511.7
On target5.26.53.93.5
Shot conversion13%12%10%9%
Shots inside box64%66%73%74%
Big chances created3.74.32.21.9
Corners5.66.75.04.8
xG from set plays27%28%48%46%
Goals from headers19%24%21%18%
Pressure index16.120.59.18.5
Dominant minutes57.164.834.732.1
Pass accuracy88%88%72%72%
Fouls8.68.612.312.5
Cards2.182.122.151.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'116
16–30'116
31–45'1814
46–60'86
61–75'86
76–90'129

FC Union Berlin

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'618
46–60'611
61–75'66
76–90'1714

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.772
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.772
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

FC Union Berlin · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.182

Game state

When level-0.504
When behind-0.044
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.052
Away-0.322
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
Evenly matched-0.052
As underdog-0.322

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.362

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.46

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-131 91%1.842.01.231.971.37
4-2-3-12 6%1.03.03.01.761.64
5-4-11 3%0.00.03.00.581.86

FC Union Berlin

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-119 56%1.211.211.471.441.36
3-5-26 18%0.51.172.670.932.24
5-3-25 15%0.81.02.21.161.45
4-2-3-12 6%3.03.50.52.551.07
4-2-2-21 3%3.01.00.00.641.39

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 55%4.0Draw 24% P 25%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Bayer Leverkusen or Union Berlin 38% P 38%2.1Draw or Union Berlin 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away20%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Christian Dingert

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.29 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.434.15+0.4767
Fouls / match23.122.3+0.59
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.33+0.0248
Time added7.16.8+0.1963
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-29 61 320 7'11
2025-05-11 40 230 78'9
2025-04-26 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10 200 83'6
2025-04-06 20 190 47'4
2025-03-08 61 211 21'8
2025-02-23 18 4
2025-02-08 60 190 33'7
2025-01-25 51 260 10'9
2025-01-11 30 290 8'8
2024-12-15 70 381 10'6