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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

SGEFCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
Capacity
58,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,500

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Vincent Kompany
Position
5 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Daniel Siebert

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
14.7° (feels 14.6°)
Wind
8.5
Humidity
90%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Eintracht Frankfurt

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 16 GA 17 · xG 7.37–10.26 · xPts 6.08

  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–5 xG 0.57–4.2 UEFA CL
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 6–4 xG 2.4–1.52 GER BI
  • L H FC Union Berlin 3–4 xG 2.24–1.4 GER BI
  • W H Galatasaray 5–1 xG 1.27–1.01 UEFA CL
  • L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 xG 0.89–2.13 GER BI

FC Bayern München

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 21 GA 3 · xG 14.51–3.27 · xPts 12.76

  • W A Pafos FC 5–1 xG 3.42–0.45 UEFA CL
  • W H Werder Bremen 4–0 xG 3.59–0.41 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 xG 2.68–0.82 GER BI
  • W H Chelsea 3–1 xG 2.1–0.82 UEFA CL
  • W H Hamburger SV 5–0 xG 2.73–0.77 GER BI

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Eintracht Frankfurt 66 draws28 FC Bayern München

Goals 38–97 · 3.38 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 22 draws6 FC Bayern München

Goals 15–25 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt 01 draws4 FC Bayern München

Goals 6–15 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Bayern München 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 5–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 1–6 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 0–1 FC Bayern München neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricEintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt at home · 17FC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.472.622.65
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 628 / 5 / 114 / 3 / 0
Goals for / match1.791.713.593.18
Goals against / match1.911.591.061.00
Clean sheets21%35%35%41%
Failed to score9%6%0%0%
Both teams scored74%59%65%59%
Over 2.568%65%94%88%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.482.702.47
xG against / match1.501.241.221.46
xG difference-0.150.241.481.01
Finishing vs xG0.450.230.890.71
xPts / match1.311.562.151.95
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.080.470.70
Game state
Scored first50%59%65%53%
PPG when scoring first1.942.202.773.00
PPG when conceding first0.630.432.332.25
Came back from behind43%33%93%100%
Leads held55%64%90%93%
Minutes leading25%22%50%41%
Minutes level46%49%36%42%
Minutes trailing29%29%14%17%
First goal (min)41493240
First goal conceded (min)35343835
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%69%59%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%63%47%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.411.031.24
Late goals against0.560.290.320.24
Style
Possession55%54%67%67%
Shots12.013.219.216.8
On target4.65.38.58.1
Shot conversion15%13%19%19%
Shots inside box67%68%68%70%
Big chances created2.52.74.94.2
Corners4.75.46.45.1
xG from set plays28%32%23%22%
Goals from headers12%10%11%13%
Pressure index12.813.427.525.0
Dominant minutes48.552.474.268.6
Pass accuracy83%84%90%89%
Fouls10.410.18.89.1
Cards2.062.121.792.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.183
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.183

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.45 · Behind vs level +0.29

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.5Home 13% P 12%5.75Draw 16% P 16%1.33Away 71% P 72%

Double Chance

3.25Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw 15% P 14%1.14Eintracht Frankfurt or Bayern Munich 42% P 42%1.1Draw or Bayern Munich 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66% P 69%2.75No 34% P 31%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.22Over 78% P 72%4.33Under 22% P 28%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 49%1.83Under 50% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 70–72.5% · 229 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%11%9%-1.9
Draw16%18%15%-2.9
Away72%71%76%+4.8

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 67.5–70% · 136 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes69%69%68%-0.9

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Daniel Siebert

Career
74 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.61 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.14+0.1059
Fouls / match22.322.3-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.32-0.5326
Time added7.76.8+0.8285
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 91 270 34'8
2025-09-21 10 190 5'8
2025-09-13 11 211 90'11
2025-08-23 40 260 37'14
2025-08-20 81 340 22'5
2025-08-14 101 330 28'6
2025-05-17 10 180 33'13
2025-05-08 70 270 25'4
2025-05-04 30 260 27'6
2025-04-20 30 231 4'9