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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Momentum

TSGFC Köln
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Capacity
30,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,150

Teams

Coaches
Christian Ilzer · Lukas Kwasniok
Position
10 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 9.2°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
57%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

TSG Hoffenheim

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 11 · xG 8.08–9.21 · xPts 6.34

  • D A SC Freiburg 1–1 xG 2.42–1.23 GER BI
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 0.82–2.68 GER BI
  • W A FC Union Berlin 4–2 xG 2.9–3.32 GER BI
  • L H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 xG 1.32–0.98 GER BI
  • W A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 xG 0.62–1.0 GER BI

FC Köln

WWDLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.06–10.61 · xPts 5.08

  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–2 xG 0.76–2.02 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 1–3 xG 1.49–3.5 GER BI
  • D A VfL Wolfsburg 3–3 xG 1.58–1.99 GER BI
  • W H SC Freiburg 4–1 xG 2.05–1.16 GER BI
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 1–0 xG 1.18–1.95 GER BI

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

TSG Hoffenheim 139 draws7 FC Köln

Goals 59–33 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 43 draws3 FC Köln

Goals 19–12 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

TSG Hoffenheim 12 draws2 FC Köln

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Köln 3–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 2–2 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • L TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 FC Köln GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Köln 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Köln 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 5–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • W TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 FC Köln neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricTSG Hoffenheim all · 34TSG Hoffenheim at home · 17FC Köln all · 34FC Köln away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.880.940.76
W / D / L18 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 57 / 11 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.912.061.441.12
Goals against / match1.531.241.851.94
Clean sheets21%24%9%12%
Failed to score18%12%12%18%
Both teams scored65%65%79%71%
Over 2.571%71%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.861.491.39
xG against / match1.461.211.661.88
xG difference0.250.65-0.18-0.49
Finishing vs xG0.200.20-0.05-0.27
xPts / match1.581.781.271.10
Points vs xPts0.210.10-0.33-0.34
Game state
Scored first47%59%41%29%
PPG when scoring first2.752.801.571.60
PPG when conceding first0.940.570.500.42
Came back from behind47%29%38%43%
Leads held86%91%44%40%
Minutes leading37%46%19%11%
Minutes level40%35%51%55%
Minutes trailing22%19%30%34%
First goal (min)34364248
First goal conceded (min)37474442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%40%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%62%56%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.410.560.47
Late goals against0.350.350.350.41
Style
Possession55%57%47%46%
Shots14.116.213.411.7
On target5.25.94.73.8
Shot conversion14%13%11%10%
Shots inside box69%68%70%71%
Big chances created2.83.12.52.1
Corners5.86.44.64.4
xG from set plays35%36%27%29%
Goals from headers22%21%16%16%
Pressure index14.516.611.08.6
Dominant minutes56.963.442.835.8
Pass accuracy80%82%80%80%
Fouls13.913.48.38.1
Cards2.261.822.001.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

TSG Hoffenheim

0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012

FC Köln

0–15'98
16–30'69
31–45'411
46–60'78
61–75'415
76–90'1912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073

Game state

When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154

Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Köln · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.033
Early press (0-15, level)-0.053
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.222
When level-0.153
When behind+0.382
10 min after conceding+0.073
10 min after scoring+0.593

Situations

At home-0.182
4+ days rest-0.033

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.182

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.273
Conceded when ahead+0.492
Conceded late (76+)-0.423

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level +0.54

TSG Hoffenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 26%1.891.781.562.051.33
4-4-25 15%1.82.22.21.461.69
4-3-34 12%2.252.251.251.471.11
4-3-1-24 12%1.752.251.02.011.21
4-1-4-12 6%2.01.50.51.361.13

FC Köln

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 13 · conceding 17

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 24%0.751.631.881.541.26
3-4-2-16 18%1.330.831.00.791.64
3-4-36 18%1.01.171.671.381.2
5-3-25 15%0.41.63.01.592.41
4-4-24 12%1.751.51.02.081.56

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 49%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.7Away 25% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 37% P 37%1.25TSG Hoffenheim or Cologne 38% P 38%1.9Draw or Cologne 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 62%2.1Under 44% P 38%
4.52.2Over 42% P 48%1.61Under 58% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away26%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.224.14+0.0152
Fouls / match21.822.3-0.57
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.2030
Time added6.96.8-0.0144
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-21 100 270 8'8
2025-09-18 11 70 21'6
2025-09-13 51 140 21'13
2025-08-27 21 100 3'4
2025-08-23 90 321 37'18
2025-05-21 70 320 35'10
2025-05-17 14 4
2025-05-07 60 221 18'7
2025-05-03 40 150 50'9
2025-04-19 50 230 51'10