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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

HeidenheimSVW
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion, Heidenheim an der Brenz
Capacity
15,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,000

Teams

Coaches
Frank Schmidt · Horst Steffen
Position
17 · 13
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Patrick Ittrich

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
10.4° (feels 9.2°)
Wind
3.8
Humidity
62%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Heidenheim

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 5.36–10.0 · xPts 4.28

  • L A VfB Stuttgart 0–1 xG 0.51–1.3 GER BI
  • W H FC Augsburg 2–1 xG 1.31–0.93 GER BI
  • L A Hamburger SV 1–2 xG 2.13–2.66 GER BI
  • L H Borussia Dortmund 0–2 xG 0.41–2.5 GER BI
  • L A RB Leipzig 0–2 xG 1.0–2.61 GER BI

Werder Bremen

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 7.32–9.59 · xPts 6.27

  • W H St. Pauli 1–0 xG 1.8–0.97 GER BI
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 0.41–3.59 GER BI
  • L H SC Freiburg 0–3 xG 1.52–1.79 GER BI
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 xG 1.88–1.36 GER BI
  • D H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–3 xG 1.71–1.89 GER BI

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Heidenheim 22 draws2 Werder Bremen

Goals 12–14 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 83% · over 2.5 83%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Heidenheim 22 draws2 Werder Bremen

Goals 12–14 · 4.33 per match · BTTS 83% · over 2.5 83%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Heidenheim 12 draws2 Werder Bremen

Goals 8–12 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Heidenheim 2–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Heidenheim 1–4 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Werder Bremen 3–3 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Werder Bremen 1–2 FC Heidenheim GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Heidenheim 4–2 Werder Bremen GER BI · Regular Season
MetricHeidenheim all · 34Heidenheim at home · 17Werder Bremen all · 34Werder Bremen away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.761.000.940.76
W / D / L6 / 8 / 204 / 5 / 88 / 8 / 183 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.211.351.091.06
Goals against / match2.122.181.761.71
Clean sheets3%6%18%18%
Failed to score35%35%38%41%
Both teams scored62%59%47%47%
Over 2.568%71%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.461.211.01
xG against / match1.911.931.581.82
xG difference-0.55-0.47-0.37-0.81
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.11-0.120.05
xPts / match1.101.151.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.15-0.27-0.19
Game state
Scored first24%29%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.002.202.101.60
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.430.36
Came back from behind23%33%25%17%
Leads held46%57%62%50%
Minutes leading15%18%16%16%
Minutes level48%46%41%44%
Minutes trailing37%36%43%40%
First goal (min)45365250
First goal conceded (min)39383536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%54%57%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.410.410.24
Late goals against0.440.530.320.35
Style
Possession42%42%51%48%
Shots11.411.513.110.8
On target3.63.94.13.6
Shot conversion11%12%8%10%
Shots inside box69%66%62%61%
Big chances created2.52.71.71.5
Corners4.54.64.64.2
xG from set plays33%38%24%24%
Goals from headers15%13%19%6%
Pressure index7.77.412.68.1
Dominant minutes35.337.547.835.1
Pass accuracy76%76%82%81%
Fouls9.89.49.99.5
Cards1.441.182.472.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Heidenheim

0–15'45
16–30'611
31–45'617
46–60'713
61–75'711
76–90'1115

Werder Bremen

0–15'27
16–30'49
31–45'510
46–60'48
61–75'815
76–90'1411

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Heidenheim

No pressure profile yet.

Werder Bremen · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.133
Early press (0-15, level)+0.063

Game state

When level-0.183
When behind+0.412
10 min after conceding-0.493
10 min after scoring-0.302

Situations

Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.133

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.472
As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.202

Ahead vs level -0.41 · Behind vs level +0.60

Heidenheim

Current: winless 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.331.541.71
4-3-2-15 15%0.81.02.41.362.26
4-4-24 12%1.52.01.51.861.09
4-2-3-14 12%0.250.252.00.792.1
4-3-34 12%1.01.752.251.01.59

Werder Bremen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-115 44%1.01.22.071.121.76
3-4-2-16 18%0.51.172.171.221.4
4-1-4-13 9%1.01.01.331.111.63
4-3-33 9%2.332.331.01.651.78
3-5-23 9%0.330.01.01.21.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Heidenheim or Draw 31% P 31%1.3Heidenheim or Werder Bremen 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Werder Bremen 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Patrick Ittrich

Career
94 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.03 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.714.15-1.127
Fouls / match24.122.3+1.54
Fouls per card6.75.4+1.86 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.33+0.3059
Time added6.76.8-0.2333
First card
34' on average
Card timing
21% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.47