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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

FCBBVB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
75,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · Niko Kovač
Position
1 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Bastian Dankert

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.4° (feels 8.4°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 450

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Bayern München

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 19 GA 3 · xG 13.44–2.98 · xPts 12.5

  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 xG 1.65–0.47 GER BI
  • W A Pafos FC 5–1 xG 3.42–0.45 UEFA CL
  • W H Werder Bremen 4–0 xG 3.59–0.41 GER BI
  • W A TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 xG 2.68–0.82 GER BI
  • W H Chelsea 3–1 xG 2.1–0.82 UEFA CL

Borussia Dortmund

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 6.41–5.29 · xPts 7.72

  • D H RB Leipzig 1–1 xG 1.07–1.28 GER BI
  • W H Athletic Club 4–1 xG 1.11–0.71 UEFA CL
  • W A FSV Mainz 05 2–0 xG 1.26–0.59 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 xG 1.13–0.77 GER BI
  • D A Juventus 4–4 xG 1.83–1.95 UEFA CL

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

FC Bayern München 259 draws9 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 98–51 · 3.47 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Bayern München 63 draws1 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 24–15 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Bayern München 22 draws1 Borussia Dortmund

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • L FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 4–2 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Borussia Dortmund 2–2 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
  • W FC Bayern München 3–1 Borussia Dortmund GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München GER BI · Regular Season
MetricFC Bayern München all · 34FC Bayern München at home · 17Borussia Dortmund all · 34Borussia Dortmund away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.622.592.151.88
W / D / L28 / 5 / 114 / 2 / 122 / 7 / 59 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match3.594.002.061.76
Goals against / match1.061.121.001.06
Clean sheets35%29%44%35%
Failed to score0%0%6%6%
Both teams scored65%71%50%59%
Over 2.594%100%56%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.702.941.831.40
xG against / match1.220.991.251.42
xG difference1.481.940.58-0.02
Finishing vs xG0.891.060.230.36
xPts / match2.152.351.691.37
Points vs xPts0.470.240.460.51
Game state
Scored first65%76%76%76%
PPG when scoring first2.772.622.502.38
PPG when conceding first2.332.501.000.25
Came back from behind93%83%54%40%
Leads held90%88%79%69%
Minutes leading50%59%42%36%
Minutes level36%31%46%52%
Minutes trailing14%10%12%12%
First goal (min)32253944
First goal conceded (min)38414858
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%47%54%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half47%47%68%72%
Late goals for (76'+)1.030.820.590.53
Late goals against0.320.410.350.53
Style
Possession67%68%53%51%
Shots19.221.513.111.4
On target8.58.94.84.2
Shot conversion19%19%16%16%
Shots inside box68%66%74%77%
Big chances created4.95.53.22.5
Corners6.47.65.33.4
xG from set plays23%24%36%34%
Goals from headers11%9%23%27%
Pressure index27.530.116.812.0
Dominant minutes74.279.855.446.4
Pass accuracy90%91%83%82%
Fouls8.88.511.611.6
Cards1.791.351.912.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'95
16–30'188
31–45'236
46–60'173
61–75'203
76–90'3511

Borussia Dortmund

0–15'92
16–30'54
31–45'185
46–60'85
61–75'106
76–90'2012

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Borussia Dortmund · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.394
Late push (76+, level)-0.062

Game state

When ahead+0.154
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.432
10 min after scoring+0.384

Situations

At home+0.093
4+ days rest-0.053

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.062
As favourite+0.093

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded when ahead-0.184
Conceded late (76+)-0.374

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-133 97%2.673.611.02.721.2
4-3-1-21 3%1.03.03.02.21.95

Borussia Dortmund

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 6 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 74%2.122.081.01.721.35
3-4-34 12%2.52.00.751.870.97
3-5-23 9%3.02.330.672.960.8
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.01.210.67
3-4-1-21 3%1.03.03.01.561.77

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 70% P 71%5.5Draw 17% P 17%7.5Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Bayern Munich or Draw 43% P 44%1.14Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund 41% P 42%3.0Draw or Borussia Dortmund 16% P 15%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 72%3.4Under 28% P 28%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 51%2.1Under 44% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw17%18%15%-2.5
Away12%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.572%71%70%-1.4

Bastian Dankert

Career
206 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.13 (3.94 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 65 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.14-0.7222
Fouls / match22.922.3+0.47
Fouls per card6.25.4+1.25 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.32-1.647
Time added6.26.8-0.7515
First card
38' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 30 240 45'10
2025-09-13 50 260 68'30
2025-05-10 40 190 2'7
2025-04-26 · FC Bayern München 40 300 36'6
2025-04-12 30 230 84'4
2025-03-29 60 181 32'12
2025-03-08 31 170 8'5
2025-02-22 · Borussia Dortmund 40 210 17'1
2025-01-25 40 180 40'8
2025-01-18 30 291 38'8