Rating 7.09 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– St. PauliTSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| St. Pauli | at home | Stat | league | away | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.2 #4 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 14.1 #5 |
| 3.4 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 5.8 #2 |
| 9.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 13.9 #1 |
| 1.9 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 16.9 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.5 #7 |
| 92.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 108.2 #4 |
| 42.1 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 53.1 #4 |
| 427.7 #10 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 472.5 #8 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #5 |
| 0.6 #18 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.4 #6 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #13 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #7 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #14 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.7 #6 |
| -0.1 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #11 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 #6 |
| 1.8 #6 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 #13 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| 9.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 8.3 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.1 #14 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.4 #10 |
| 6.1 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #5 |
| 3.8 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #3 |
| 4.2 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
St. Pauli
No ranked players yet.
TSG Hoffenheim · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.12 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 6 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (93th pct) · G+A 14 + 6 (31% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.08 ppg with (26) · 0.88 without (8)
Absences
St. Pauli
- injury David Nemeth defender · Muscular problems · 26 missed · until 2026-02-19
- injury Ricky-Jade Jones attacker · Shoulder Injury · 13 missed · until 2025-11-13
TSG Hoffenheim
- injury Adam Hlozek attacker · Scaphoid Fracture · 13 missed · until 2025-11-24
- injury Dennis Geiger midfielder · Ill · 53 missed
- injury Hennes Behrens defender · Torn Muscle Fiber · 15 missed · until 2026-01-20
- injury Kelven Frees defender · Broken Ankle · 14 missed · until 2026-01-09
- injury Koki Machida defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 35 missed · until 2026-07-17
- injury Valentin Gendrey defender · Broken Ankle · 12 missed · until 2025-11-17
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Capacity
- 29,546
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,240
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexander Blessin · Christian Ilzer
- Position
- 12 · 14
- Formation
- 3-4-1-2 · 4-4-2
Referee
Sven Jablonski
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 9.6° (feels 7.0°)
- Wind
- 5.5
- Humidity
- 48%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
St. Pauli
WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.07–5.75 · xPts 7.23
- L
A
Werder Bremen
0–1
xG 0.97–1.8
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–2
xG 0.83–0.89
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–2
xG 0.94–2.09
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.1–0.68
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.25–0.29
GER BI
DWWLLL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.84–7.31 · xPts 8.75
- L
A
Werder Bremen
0–1
xG 0.97–1.8
GER BI
- L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–2
xG 0.83–0.89
GER BI
- L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0–2
xG 0.94–2.09
GER BI
- W
H
FC Augsburg
2–1
xG 2.1–0.68
GER BI
- W
A
Hamburger SV
2–0
xG 1.25–0.29
GER BI
- D
H
Borussia Dortmund
3–3
xG 1.77–1.56
GER BI
TSG Hoffenheim
LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 8.82–9.19 · xPts 6.97
- L
H
FC Köln
0–1
xG 1.36–0.98
GER BI
- D
A
SC Freiburg
1–1
xG 2.42–1.23
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 0.82–2.68
GER BI
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–2
xG 2.9–3.32
GER BI
- L
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
xG 1.32–0.98
GER BI
WLWLDL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 9.44–10.19 · xPts 7.98
- L
H
FC Köln
0–1
xG 1.36–0.98
GER BI
- D
A
SC Freiburg
1–1
xG 2.42–1.23
GER BI
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 0.82–2.68
GER BI
- W
A
FC Union Berlin
4–2
xG 2.9–3.32
GER BI
- L
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
xG 1.32–0.98
GER BI
- W
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
xG 0.62–1.0
GER BI
All meetings · 6 matches since 2010
Goals 6–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 17% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 6–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 17% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 0–3 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W St. Pauli 1–0 TSG Hoffenheim GER BI · Regular Season
- W TSG Hoffenheim 0–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- D TSG Hoffenheim 2–2 St. Pauli GER BI · Regular Season
- L St. Pauli 0–1 TSG Hoffenheim neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 34 | St. Pauli at home · 17 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 34 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.76 | 1.00 | 1.79 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 | 4 / 5 / 8 | 18 / 7 / 9 | 8 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 0.85 | 1.00 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.53 | 1.82 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 18% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -0.68 | -0.50 | 0.25 | -0.14 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.13 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.11 | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 29% | 47% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.70 | 2.00 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 27% | 47% | 60% |
| Leads held | 54% | 67% | 86% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 14% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 53% | 40% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 22% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 53 | 34 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 45 | 37 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 71% | 45% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 68% | 50% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 10.3 | 10.6 | 14.1 | 12.0 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 61% | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 46% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 24% | 22% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 8.4 | 10.5 | 14.5 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.2 | 44.4 | 56.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.5 | 13.9 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 1.68 | 1.82 | 2.26 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'33
31–45'713
46–60'614
61–75'510
76–90'713
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'59
16–30'1210
31–45'197
46–60'145
61–75'59
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli
No pressure profile yet.
TSG Hoffenheim · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: when behind +0.94
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.374
Early press (0-15, level)+0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.073
Game state
When ahead-0.103
When level+0.374
When behind+0.943
10 min after conceding-0.124
10 min after scoring+0.013
Situations
At home-0.012
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.374
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.184
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.154
Ahead vs level -0.47 · Behind vs level +0.57
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 53% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.24 | 1.61 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.56 | 2.05 | 1.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 5 15% | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 10 | St. Pauli at home · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 10 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 7 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.60 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.84 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.95 | 1.72 | 1.44 | 1.93 |
| xG difference | -0.97 | -0.61 | 0.40 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.38 | -0.21 | -0.24 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | 1.04 | 1.64 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.53 | -0.04 | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 70% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 1.75 | 1.86 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 20% | 29% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 57% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 9% | 16% | 40% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 57% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 20% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 60 | 27 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 53 | 40 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 78% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 65% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 41% | 57% | 56% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 9.8 | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 60% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 39% | 49% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 12% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 9.0 | 15.2 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 38.4 | 58.9 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 8.9 | 15.1 | 15.0 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.60 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'03
16–30'20
31–45'04
46–60'14
61–75'14
76–90'25
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'23
16–30'43
31–45'51
46–60'22
61–75'24
76–90'17
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 80% | 0.38 | 0.5 | 1.88 | 0.94 | 1.72 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.62 | 3.46 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.65 | 2.23 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 2.04 | 1.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.54 | 1.8 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.99 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.64 |
| Metric | St. Pauli all · 31 | St. Pauli at home · 15 | TSG Hoffenheim all · 35 | TSG Hoffenheim away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 31 | 15 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.61 | 0.87 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 7 / 20 | 3 / 4 / 8 | 17 / 7 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.71 | 0.80 | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Goals against / match | 1.81 | 1.80 | 1.57 | 1.94 |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 13% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 42% | 40% | 20% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% | 63% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% | 69% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.83 | -0.68 | 0.29 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| xPts / match | 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.13 | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 33% | 51% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.00 | 2.44 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.81 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 11% | 39% | 46% |
| Leads held | 44% | 60% | 77% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 14% | 37% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 53% | 42% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 33% | 21% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | 54 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 48 | 40 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 67% | 44% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 70% | 56% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 56% | 55% |
| Shots | 9.9 | 10.5 | 14.8 | 13.0 |
| On target | 3.0 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 43% | 33% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 25% | 22% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 10.1 | 15.1 | 13.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 36.3 | 42.4 | 57.6 | 52.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 9.3 | 14.1 | 14.9 |
| Cards | 1.65 | 1.87 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
St. Pauli
0–15'17
16–30'22
31–45'612
46–60'414
61–75'58
76–90'413
TSG Hoffenheim
0–15'68
16–30'129
31–45'187
46–60'135
61–75'711
76–90'815
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
St. Pauli · 31 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.37
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1631
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0931
Late push (76+, level)-0.3711
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2819
Game state
When ahead-0.289
When level-0.1431
When behind-0.1522
10 min after conceding-0.3527
10 min after scoring-0.1718
Situations
With ten men-0.292
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1916
4+ days rest-0.1530
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3411
v mid-tier opponents-0.1011
v bottom-tier opponents-0.015
Evenly matched-0.1013
As underdog-0.2417
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2831
Conceded when ahead+0.479
Conceded late (76+)+0.2328
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.01
TSG Hoffenheim · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2135
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2935
Late push (76+, level)-0.1611
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0110
Game state
When ahead+0.1322
When level+0.2135
When behind+0.3318
10 min after conceding-0.1026
10 min after scoring+0.5528
Situations
With ten men+0.203
Against ten men-0.013
At home+0.0418
Away+0.3917
3 days rest or fewer+0.182
4+ days rest+0.2133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0713
v mid-tier opponents+0.4310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.325
As favourite+0.3318
Evenly matched+0.1112
As underdog-0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2035
Conceded when ahead-0.1422
Conceded late (76+)-0.1530
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.11
St. Pauli
Current: winless 10 · scoring 3 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 18 58% | 0.89 | 0.83 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 1.79 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 23% | 0.14 | 0.43 | 1.86 | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.37 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.43 | 0.85 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.69 | 1.33 |
TSG Hoffenheim
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.14 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 20% | 1.29 | 2.14 | 2.43 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 4 11% | 1.75 | 2.25 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.97 | 1.24 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.6Away 37% P 37%
Double Chance
1.5St Pauli or Draw 31% P 31%1.3St Pauli or TSG Hoffenheim 36% P 36%1.44Draw or TSG Hoffenheim 33% P 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58% P 60%2.2No 42% P 40%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 34% | 34% | +0.6 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 27% | -2.5 |
| Away | 37% | 36% | 38% | +2.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 55% | +0.8 |
Sven Jablonski
- Career
- 115 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.22
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.78 | 4.15 | -0.96 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 22.3 | -1.66 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.10 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.33 | -1.10 | 18 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.8 | -0.76 | 15 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 24' | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 63' | 16 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7' | 7 |
| 2025-08-30 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 24' | 11 |
| 2025-05-10 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 49' | 4 |
| 2025-04-26 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 8' | 6 |
| 2025-04-12 · TSG Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 23' | 4 |
| 2025-03-28 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 87' | 6 |
| 2025-03-08 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 50' | 3 |
| 2025-02-15 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 78' | 12 |