Rating 7.14 (89th pct) · G+A 13 + 9 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– RB LeipzigHamburger SV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| RB Leipzig | at home | Stat | league | away | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.9 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.4 #12 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.3 | – | 12.3 #11 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #10 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Corners | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 9.3 #15 | – | Fouls | 10.4 | – | 11.8 #3 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #11 |
| 15.2 #10 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.0 #11 |
| 105.0 #6 | – | Attacks | 98.2 | – | 82.8 #18 |
| 49.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.7 | – | 34.3 #18 |
| 502.9 #4 | – | Passes | 456.1 | – | 390.1 #15 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.1 #4 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.5 #4 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.9 #12 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 61.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 24.5 | – | – #1 |
| 2.1 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.1 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #16 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 #16 |
| 1.4 #15 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 #10 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #14 |
| 9.1 #9 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.7 | – | – #8 |
| 0.0 #18 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 7.0 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 4.2 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.5 | – | 3.1 #15 |
| 11.3 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.1 #13 |
| 5.6 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.7 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.24 (home 1.78 · away 1.46)
- Home / draw / away
- 44% · 25% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 62% · 64%
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
RB Leipzig · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.43 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (29) · 1.4 without (5)
Rating 7.19 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Hamburger SV · 2025/2026 · Bundesliga
Rating 7.17 (92th pct) · G+A 7 + 5 (30% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (25) · 1.33 without (9)
Rating 6.94 (78th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 1.43 without (7)
Rating 6.9 (67th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
RB Leipzig
- injury Amadou Haidara midfielder · Muscular problems · 4 missed · until 2025-09-29
- injury Benjamin Henrichs #17 key player defender · Achilles tendon rupture · 24 missed · until 2026-01-02
- injury Kevin Kampl midfielder · Ill · 52 missed
- injury Kosta Nedeljkovic defender · Knee Injury · 7 missed · until 2025-11-17
- injury Max Finkgräfe #12 key player defender · Inner Ligament Injury · 4 missed · until 2025-10-26
Hamburger SV
- injury Bakery Jatta #10 key player midfielder · Muscular problems · 1 missed · until 2025-08-25
- suspension Fábio Vieira #1 key player midfielder · Red Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2025-10-19
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
- Capacity
- 47,069
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 42,558
Teams
- Coaches
- Ole Werner · Merlin Polzin
- Position
- 3 · 10
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Referee
Tobias Welz
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 10.2° (feels 9.0°)
- Wind
- 4.7
- Humidity
- 65%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Bayern München |
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig |
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | WWLWL |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 5 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | LDLLD |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | WDWWL |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  FC Union Berlin |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | DDWLW |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | LLWWD |
| 14 |  FC Köln |
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WDDLW |
| 17 |  FC Heidenheim |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 44 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 24 | 41 | LWLWW |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 39 | LDDWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 5 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 6 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 31 | LWWLD |
| 8 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 25 | LDLLD |
| 10 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 | LLWWD |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 24 | DDWLW |
| 12 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 | LLDWW |
| 13 | FC Köln |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 19 | WDLLL |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 | DLWLW |
| 16 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 17 | St. Pauli |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 18 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 10 | WDDLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 45 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 32 | LWLWW |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 28 | LWWLD |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 23 | LDDWD |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 19 | LDLLD |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg |
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 19 | WDDLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 11 | FC Union Berlin |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 | LLDWW |
| 12 | SC Freiburg |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Hamburger SV |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Werder Bremen |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | WDLLL |
| 16 | FC Köln |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 17 | FC Heidenheim |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 | LWDWL |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 9 | DLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
RB Leipzig
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 11.35–7.55 · xPts 9.03
- D
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 1.28–1.07
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
xG 2.56–2.82
GER BI
- W
H
FC Köln
3–1
xG 3.5–1.49
GER BI
- W
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–0
xG 1.41–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 2.61–1.0
GER BI
LWWWWD 4W 1D 1L · 13 pts (2.17 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 12.07–9.5 · xPts 9.62
- D
A
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
xG 1.28–1.07
GER BI
- W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
xG 2.56–2.82
GER BI
- W
H
FC Köln
3–1
xG 3.5–1.49
GER BI
- W
A
FSV Mainz 05
1–0
xG 1.41–1.17
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–0
xG 2.61–1.0
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–6
xG 0.72–1.95
GER BI
Hamburger SV
LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.73–8.42 · xPts 5.87
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 1.65–0.79
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
0–0
xG 1.36–1.52
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 2.66–2.13
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–5
xG 0.77–2.73
GER BI
- L
H
St. Pauli
0–2
xG 0.29–1.25
GER BI
DLLWDW 2W 2D 2L · 8 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 7.23–9.73 · xPts 6.59
- W
H
FSV Mainz 05
4–0
xG 1.65–0.79
GER BI
- D
A
FC Union Berlin
0–0
xG 1.36–1.52
GER BI
- W
H
FC Heidenheim
2–1
xG 2.66–2.13
GER BI
- L
A
FC Bayern München
0–5
xG 0.77–2.73
GER BI
- L
H
St. Pauli
0–2
xG 0.29–1.25
GER BI
- D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0
xG 0.5–1.31
GER BI
All meetings · 7 matches since 2016
Goals 16–6 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%
Last 10 · 7 matches
Goals 16–6 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- W RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- D RB Leipzig 1–1 Hamburger SV neutral GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–2 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
- L RB Leipzig 0–3 Hamburger SV GER BI · Regular Season
- W Hamburger SV 0–4 RB Leipzig neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 34 | RB Leipzig at home · 17 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.91 | 2.24 | 1.12 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 | 12 / 2 / 3 | 9 / 11 / 14 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.94 | 2.35 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 35% | 18% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 0% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 65% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% | 56% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.07 | 2.44 | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| xG difference | 0.65 | 1.01 | -0.50 | -0.96 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.09 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.76 | 1.96 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.27 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 74% | 88% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.27 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.87 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 40% | 36% | 25% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 42% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 58% | 58% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 11% | 26% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 41 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 52 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 75% | 54% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 17.3 | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| On target | 6.0 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 77% | 66% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 3.6 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.1 | 20.1 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.5 | 61.8 | 38.3 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 8.1 | 11.8 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 1.53 | 1.35 | 2.68 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'70
16–30'118
31–45'149
46–60'139
61–75'116
76–90'1015
Hamburger SV
0–15'34
16–30'411
31–45'1010
46–60'910
61–75'86
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252
Game state
When ahead+0.232
When level-0.504
When behind+0.572
10 min after conceding+0.082
10 min after scoring+0.404
Situations
At home+0.002
Away+0.452
4+ days rest+0.383
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.002
As favourite+0.303
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.214
Conceded when ahead-0.132
Conceded late (76+)-0.672
Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06
Hamburger SV · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)-0.203
Game state
When level-0.253
When behind-0.213
10 min after conceding-0.453
Situations
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.163
Behind vs level +0.04
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 29 85% | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.48 | 2.01 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 9% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 1.22 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 17 50% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 29% | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.46 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 10 | RB Leipzig at home · 10 | Hamburger SV all · 10 | Hamburger SV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 2.10 | 2.60 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 0.90 | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.17 | 2.57 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.30 | 2.02 | 2.37 |
| xG difference | 0.85 | 1.27 | -0.79 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.03 | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.85 | 2.08 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | 0.22 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 67% | 25% | 38% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 45% | 8% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 43% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 12% | 48% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 41 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 58 | 28 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 67% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 78% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 60% | 43% | 42% |
| Shots | 18.1 | 18.0 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 8% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 76% | 60% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 22% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | 18.7 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 66.2 | 37.1 | 35.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 7.8 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'02
16–30'63
31–45'23
46–60'32
61–75'52
76–90'56
Hamburger SV
0–15'11
16–30'07
31–45'25
46–60'34
61–75'32
76–90'07
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 1.88 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 2.67 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Metric | RB Leipzig all · 35 | RB Leipzig at home · 18 | Hamburger SV all · 34 | Hamburger SV away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.28 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 10 | 13 / 2 / 3 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 4 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.09 | 2.56 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.11 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 39% | 15% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 0% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 61% | 65% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 83% | 59% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.12 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| xG difference | 0.73 | 1.08 | -0.51 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | 0.07 | -0.15 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.80 | 1.99 | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.29 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 89% | 35% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.28 | 2.31 | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 2.00 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 23% | 40% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 74% | 76% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 46% | 16% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 11% | 28% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 38 | 43 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 52 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 52% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 75% | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 46% | 46% |
| Shots | 16.1 | 17.7 | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| On target | 6.3 | 7.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 76% | 65% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 8% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 16.7 | 19.4 | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 59.8 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 8.4 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| Cards | 1.54 | 1.28 | 2.56 | 2.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
RB Leipzig
0–15'72
16–30'147
31–45'138
46–60'1410
61–75'145
76–90'1116
Hamburger SV
0–15'33
16–30'411
31–45'1012
46–60'910
61–75'87
76–90'616
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
RB Leipzig · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735
Late push (76+, level)+0.066
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911
Game state
When ahead+0.1827
When level+0.2835
When behind+0.3013
10 min after conceding-0.1024
10 min after scoring+0.3533
Situations
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2417
3 days rest or fewer+0.273
4+ days rest+0.2532
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1310
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.278
As favourite+0.3424
Evenly matched+0.168
As underdog-0.133
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.2327
Conceded late (76+)-0.3628
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02
Hamburger SV · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.77
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0634
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0334
Late push (76+, level)+0.0114
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2112
Game state
When ahead-0.3416
When level+0.0634
When behind-0.1323
10 min after conceding-0.3029
10 min after scoring-0.1322
Situations
With ten men+0.016
Against ten men-0.223
At home-0.0717
Away-0.0417
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest-0.0432
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2713
v mid-tier opponents-0.1213
v bottom-tier opponents+0.773
Evenly matched+0.0616
As underdog-0.1517
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2034
Conceded when ahead+0.3816
Conceded late (76+)+0.0129
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level -0.18
RB Leipzig
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 31 89% | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.29 | 2.1 | 1.35 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.49 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.53 | 1.26 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 2.0 |
Hamburger SV
Current: winless 4 · conceding 17
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 15 44% | 1.4 | 1.47 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.27 | 2.11 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 9% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.56 | 2.41 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.96 | 1.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.45Home 65% P 65%5.0Draw 19% P 19%5.75Away 16% P 16%
Double Chance
1.14RB Leipzig or Draw 41% P 42%1.16RB Leipzig or Hamburg 41% P 41%2.62Draw or Hamburg 18% P 17%
Draw No Bet
1.181 79%4.52 21%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62% P 65%2.5No 38% P 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 71%3.2Under 30% P 29%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
4.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–70% · away 10–20% · 3,666 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 65% | 65% | 66% | +1.3 |
| Draw | 19% | 21% | 21% | -0.5 |
| Away | 16% | 14% | 13% | -0.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%
Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | 64% | 64% | +0.4 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Tobias Welz
- Career
- 167 matches · 15 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.16 (3.96 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 4.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 50 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.56 | 4.14 | +0.76 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 22.3 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.37 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.28 | 0.32 | -0.56 | 22 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.8 | -0.01 | 44 |
- First card
- 26' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 4' | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 57' | 12 |
| 2025-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 39' | 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 21' | 9 |
| 2025-04-12 | – | – | 13 | – | – | 3 |
| 2025-03-08 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 18' | 9 |
| 2025-02-15 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8' | 10 |
| 2025-02-01 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 42' | 5 |
| 2025-01-14 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 17' | 5 |
| 2024-12-21 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 8 |