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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

SC FreiburgSGE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Capacity
34,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,700

Teams

Coaches
Julian Schuster · Dino Toppmöller
Position
9 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Deniz Aytekin

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.1° (feels 14.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
57%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Freiburg

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 6.47–7.06 · xPts 6.56

  • D A Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 xG 0.86–0.91 GER BI
  • D A Bologna 1–1 xG 1.81–0.63 UEFA EL
  • D H TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 xG 1.23–2.42 GER BI
  • W H Basel 2–1 xG 0.78–1.58 UEFA EL
  • W A Werder Bremen 3–0 xG 1.79–1.52 GER BI

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 15 GA 17 · xG 6.95–9.79 · xPts 5.98

  • L H FC Bayern München 0–3 xG 0.47–1.65 GER BI
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–5 xG 0.57–4.2 UEFA CL
  • W A Borussia Mönchengladbach 6–4 xG 2.4–1.52 GER BI
  • L H FC Union Berlin 3–4 xG 2.24–1.4 GER BI
  • W H Galatasaray 5–1 xG 1.27–1.01 UEFA CL

All meetings · 30 matches since 2009

SC Freiburg 711 draws12 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 35–45 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Freiburg 14 draws5 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Freiburg 02 draws3 Eintracht Frankfurt

Goals 7–14 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • D Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D SC Freiburg 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
  • W Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 SC Freiburg neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • L SC Freiburg 0–2 Eintracht Frankfurt GER BI · Regular Season
MetricSC Freiburg all · 34SC Freiburg at home · 17Eintracht Frankfurt all · 34Eintracht Frankfurt away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.381.881.291.12
W / D / L13 / 8 / 139 / 5 / 311 / 11 / 124 / 7 / 6
Goals for / match1.501.941.791.88
Goals against / match1.681.291.912.24
Clean sheets18%12%21%6%
Failed to score26%6%9%12%
Both teams scored62%82%74%88%
Over 2.565%71%68%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.511.881.351.21
xG against / match1.521.311.501.76
xG difference-0.010.58-0.15-0.55
Finishing vs xG-0.010.060.450.67
xPts / match1.361.711.311.06
Points vs xPts0.020.17-0.020.05
Game state
Scored first44%59%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.002.101.941.57
PPG when conceding first0.881.570.630.78
Came back from behind44%70%43%50%
Leads held68%69%55%44%
Minutes leading22%32%25%28%
Minutes level54%50%46%42%
Minutes trailing23%18%29%30%
First goal (min)38374133
First goal conceded (min)42453536
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%56%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%46%58%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.380.35
Late goals against0.380.290.560.82
Style
Possession48%51%55%56%
Shots12.314.212.010.9
On target4.25.14.63.9
Shot conversion12%14%15%17%
Shots inside box69%69%67%66%
Big chances created2.32.82.52.4
Corners4.14.54.73.9
xG from set plays42%41%28%22%
Goals from headers14%9%12%12%
Pressure index14.318.312.812.3
Dominant minutes51.058.148.544.5
Pass accuracy80%80%83%83%
Fouls9.48.910.410.6
Cards1.621.652.062.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SC Freiburg

0–15'76
16–30'65
31–45'711
46–60'1017
61–75'95
76–90'1213

Eintracht Frankfurt

0–15'59
16–30'118
31–45'1110
46–60'119
61–75'1010
76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Freiburg · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185

Game state

When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875

Situations

Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324

Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +2.14

Eintracht Frankfurt · 3 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.76

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.173
Early press (0-15, level)-0.023

Game state

When ahead+0.253
When level-0.193
When behind+0.102
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.763

Situations

Away+0.042
4+ days rest+0.173

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.223
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.253

Ahead vs level +0.44 · Behind vs level +0.29

SC Freiburg

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-131 91%1.321.391.611.451.52
4-4-22 6%1.52.03.51.392.28
4-4-1-11 3%3.04.00.03.720.09

Eintracht Frankfurt

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%1.51.71.61.211.39
3-4-2-110 29%0.71.52.51.321.98
4-1-4-14 12%2.02.51.751.791.21
4-3-34 12%1.01.251.51.380.87
4-5-12 6%1.53.53.01.551.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 38%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.7Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44SC Freiburg or Draw 32% P 32%1.28SC Freiburg or Eintracht Frankfurt 36% P 37%1.5Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.4
Draw27%28%28%+0.1
Away35%34%33%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Deniz Aytekin

Career
307 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.87 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
19.4 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.014.15-0.4633
Fouls / match21.922.3-0.51
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.33+0.6582
Time added6.96.8-0.0244
First card
34' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.3

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-28 41 351 38'12
2025-09-12 · Eintracht Frankfurt 82 191 19'12
2025-05-11 20 150 23'9
2025-04-27 50 201 20'12
2025-04-12 · SC Freiburg 10 150 79'4
2025-03-29 · Eintracht Frankfurt 41 150 19'8
2025-03-08 50 180 57'11