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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

Momentum

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now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Capacity
30,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,145

Teams

Coaches
P. Simonis · Sebastian Hoeneß
Position
15 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Florian Badstübner

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
10.4° (feels 8.7°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
44%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Bayern München 342851 1223686 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 703436 73 LWLWW
3 RB Leipzig 342059 664719 65 WWLWL
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 714922 62 LDDWD
5 TSG Hoffenheim 341879 655213 61 WWDWL
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 341789 684721 59 LWWLD
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 5157-6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 6165-4 44 LDLLD
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 4561-16 43 WDWWL
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 4453-9 40 DLWLW
11 FC Union Berlin 3410915 4458-14 39 LLDWW
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 4253-11 38 DDWLW
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 4054-14 38 LLWWD
14 FC Köln 3471116 4963-14 32 DLDLL
15 Werder Bremen 348818 3760-23 32 WDLLL
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 4569-24 29 WDDLW
17 FC Heidenheim 346820 4172-31 26 LWDWL
18 St. Pauli 346820 2960-31 26 DLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

VfL Wolfsburg

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.55–8.9 · xPts 5.93

  • L A FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.32–1.69 GER BI
  • L H RB Leipzig 0–1 xG 2.82–2.56 GER BI
  • L A Borussia Dortmund 0–1 xG 0.77–1.13 GER BI
  • D H FC Köln 3–3 xG 1.99–1.58 GER BI
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 1–1 xG 0.64–1.94 GER BI

VfB Stuttgart

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 9.96–3.98 · xPts 10.8

  • W H FC Heidenheim 1–0 xG 1.3–0.51 GER BI
  • L A Basel 0–2 xG 2.64–1.22 UEFA EL
  • W A FC Köln 2–1 xG 2.02–0.76 GER BI
  • W H Celta de Vigo 2–1 xG 1.91–0.56 UEFA EL
  • W H St. Pauli 2–0 xG 2.09–0.94 GER BI

All meetings · 38 matches since 2005

VfL Wolfsburg 186 draws14 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 59–53 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 32 draws5 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 12–21 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

VfL Wolfsburg 11 draws3 VfB Stuttgart

Goals 6–13 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 VfB Stuttgart GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfB Stuttgart 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfB Stuttgart 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • W VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
  • D VfB Stuttgart 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg GER BI · Regular Season
  • L VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 VfB Stuttgart neutral GER BI · Regular Season
MetricVfL Wolfsburg all · 34VfL Wolfsburg at home · 17VfB Stuttgart all · 34VfB Stuttgart away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.850.591.821.35
W / D / L7 / 8 / 192 / 4 / 1118 / 8 / 86 / 5 / 6
Goals for / match1.321.242.092.41
Goals against / match2.031.881.441.94
Clean sheets6%6%32%18%
Failed to score24%29%9%0%
Both teams scored74%71%62%82%
Over 2.565%65%74%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.581.801.61
xG against / match1.891.691.541.89
xG difference-0.50-0.110.26-0.28
Finishing vs xG-0.07-0.350.280.80
xPts / match1.141.341.581.30
Points vs xPts-0.28-0.750.240.05
Game state
Scored first53%35%53%53%
PPG when scoring first1.441.172.331.89
PPG when conceding first0.130.201.270.75
Came back from behind10%15%56%46%
Leads held35%25%75%54%
Minutes leading27%18%32%34%
Minutes level43%48%47%36%
Minutes trailing30%34%21%30%
First goal (min)35384038
First goal conceded (min)43383838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%57%54%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%56%53%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.240.650.76
Late goals against0.560.470.500.53
Style
Possession45%48%58%57%
Shots11.913.615.213.8
On target4.24.76.16.0
Shot conversion11%9%14%18%
Shots inside box64%66%66%66%
Big chances created2.63.03.32.9
Corners4.45.45.75.5
xG from set plays32%32%24%26%
Goals from headers25%33%9%8%
Pressure index9.112.719.220.8
Dominant minutes38.146.361.559.6
Pass accuracy78%80%84%84%
Fouls11.512.19.69.9
Cards2.152.291.911.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

VfL Wolfsburg

0–15'96
16–30'710
31–45'610
46–60'811
61–75'813
76–90'719

VfB Stuttgart

0–15'66
16–30'126
31–45'1511
46–60'95
61–75'74
76–90'2217

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

VfL Wolfsburg

No pressure profile yet.

VfB Stuttgart · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.29

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.074
Early press (0-15, level)-0.144
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead+0.132
When level+0.174
When behind-0.072
10 min after conceding-0.154
10 min after scoring+0.294

Situations

At home+0.152
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.003

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.193
As favourite+0.152

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.044
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.124

Congested vs rested +0.26 · Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level -0.24

VfL Wolfsburg

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%0.831.382.211.261.97
3-4-2-16 18%0.671.332.171.361.86
3-5-22 6%0.50.51.01.91.72
3-1-4-22 6%2.01.50.52.551.19

VfB Stuttgart

Current: winless 1 · scoring 10 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.812.141.621.751.74
3-4-2-16 18%1.671.831.01.590.99
3-4-1-25 15%2.02.21.22.091.45
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.02.02.820.88
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.01.751.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 33%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.35Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.57Wolfsburg or Draw 30% P 30%1.28Wolfsburg or VfB Stuttgart 37% P 36%1.4Draw or VfB Stuttgart 33% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 48%1.8Under 51% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw27%26%30%+4.7
Away40%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Florian Badstübner

Career
85 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.53 (3.39 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.14-1.147
Fouls / match22.022.3-0.34
Fouls per card6.15.4+1.06 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.32-0.1933
Time added6.06.8-0.9611
First card
39' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-02 40 370 25'7
2025-08-22 50 260 34'11
2025-07-17 51 310 59'5
2025-05-10 20 210 25'4
2025-04-20 30 140 71'4
2025-03-29 30 170 13'7
2025-03-01 10 330 53'2
2025-02-09 41 200 1'5
2025-01-25 10 170 88'3
2025-01-14 · VfL Wolfsburg 10 171 41'5